The Primer – NBA DFS Expert Analysis – March 11th, 2020

Featuring in-depth analysis to help you crack the winning code for the NBA DFS slate on March 11, 2020.

In this article, we are going to preview a few of the most important teams to help you narrow down your player pool and focus in on the big decisions of the night.


Philadelphia 76ers

Top Plays

Tobias Harris, Al Horford, Glenn Robinson III, Shake Milton

With likely no Joel Embiid or Ben Simmons and Josh Richardson on a minutes limit there is a ton of available value on the 76ers tonight in their match-up against the G-League Pistons. Tobias Harris is the biggest winner drawing a 25.4% USG while sporting a very good 1.15 FPPM in minutes with those guys off the floor. Other than Tobias the big winners are the guys who are going to pick up the minutes for those three. I expect Al Horford to take a bunch of Embiid minutes, Robinson to take a bunch of the Josh Richardson minutes and Shake Milton to take a bunch of the Ben Simmons minutes. I think all three of those guys are firmly in play with all of them averaging 0.99 FPPM or higher in this situation. The 2nd key to the night will be to identify which Sixers hit their ceiling tonight.


Sacramento Kings

Top Plays

De’Aaron Fox, Buddy Hield, Bogdan Bogdanovic

Once left for dead for the playoffs (think I called them tanking in at least one of these articles), the Kings after a 7-3 stretch of basketball are only 3 games out of the loss column of the 8 seed. Tonight they play one of those fellow bubble teams in the the New Orleans Pelicans in a 233 total game. The prices on these players are as if they are playing the All-Star team or playing a 10 man rotation. Neither is true and we have fantastic values on Fox, Hield and Bogdanovic. Hell if you were getting crazy Barnes, Bjelica and Giles are also free. The Kings have to win this game so I’m looking for starters to rack up huge minutes if this game is close.


New Orleans Pelicans

Top Plays

Jrue Holiday, Lonzo Ball, Brandon Ingram, Zion Williamson

Remember that 233 total, must-win game I just mentioned above the Kings? It’s equally true for the Pelicans who are tied with the Kings in the standings. While the prices on the Pelicans is a bit more realistic in a 233 total there definitely is room for 1-2 of these stars to go post those ceiling games you need to win GPP’s. Historically, Lonzo Ball has struggled with Fox’s defense (dating all the way back to college), so I’m looking towards the other three more which might be contrarian given how hot Lonzo has been. That being said any of these guys has the potential to go off today and be in those winning GPP lineups so be sure to spend time evaluating the Pelicans.

About CJ Kaltenbach

CJ has been around a long time having started playing DFS in 2014. He focuses on MLB/NBA/NFL but has become quite passionate about the XFL. CJ is originally from Boston (explains his die-hard Boston sports fandom) but currently lives in St. Louis. CJ can be reached on Twitter @TheSeigeDFS

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