The Primer – NBA DFS Expert Analysis – March 10th, 2020

Featuring in-depth analysis to help you crack the winning code for the NBA DFS slate on March 10, 2020.

In this article, we are going to preview a few of the most important teams to help you narrow down your player pool and focus in on the big decisions of the night.

 

Houston Rockets

Top Plays

Russell Westbrook, Robert Covington, James Harden

The Rockets enter this game against the TWolves on a three-game losing streak, including a 20 point loss to the Magic. This is a slumping team no doubt, but what better way to get out of a slump than face the league’s worst defense in Minnesota? This game carries a whopping 246 game total with the Rockets projected for 130 of it. I still think James Harden is priced out of our range a bit, but counter-point that makes him one of the best tournament plays on the board if his ownership stays down. Russell Westbrook is much more affordable and should have a field day with De’Angelo Russell’s interior defense. We also get Robert Covington against his old team at a sub $7,000 price point on both sites. This total is just too high to look past and if you are going to pay up for a stud tonight, Harden/Westbrook top my list.

 

Chicago Bulls and Cleveland Cavaliers

Top Plays

Coby White, Shaq Harrison, Andre Drummond, Collin Sexton, Matthew Dellavedova

This game on paper doesn’t look like much with just a 215 game total, but I believe there is a ton of value to be had from this matchup. Coby White is finally entering the starting lineup for the Bulls, which isn’t going to likely change his usage or minutes over the long haul, but it is encouraging to see. White has been one of the most consistent players over the ten games, hitting over 6x value in all but one. In his last two weeks of basketball, the rookie is averaging 26.9 points, 4.1 rebounds, 4.4 assists, and a steal. White has produced at least 30 fantasy points in each of those games and is averaging just shy of 40 fantasy points during this stretch. The Cavs are an elite match-up for point guards as they rank dead last in fantasy points allowed per game and defensive efficiency to point guards. Shaq Harrison has also been an amazing value over the past three games as he has produced 7x value or higher in each. The usage isn’t super high on Harrison, but he has averaged 32 minutes per game and should see that again tonight. On the other side of the court, we have Matthew Dellavedova. I personally never thought that I would ever be writing up Matthew Dellavedova again but I don’t see how you don’t play him with Darius Garland and Kevin Porter Jr. both out tonight. In the past two games with both rookies out, Delly has started and played extremely well. Dellavedova has a double-double in each of those games while producing over 30 fantasy points in each game. To round it out we should take a look at Andre Drummond. With no Tristian Thompson, Drummond has averaged 27.5 points, 15 rebounds, 2.5 assists, two steals, and two blocks. That averages out to 57 fantasy points per contest. Of course, this is a small sample, but we know Drummond is capable of putting fantasy points up in a hurry from his days with Detroit. The Bulls carry the second-worst rebound rate in the league.

 

Washington Wizards

Potential Top Plays

Troy Brown, Bradley Beal, Shabazz Napier

The Wizards are going to be a team we need to watch news on, but I feel like they should get their own write up as they hold a lot of potential leverage tonight. The Wizards hold a 117 team total tonight in a game against the Knicks. Ish Smith is already ruled out for this one and Jerome Robinson is questionable. Robinson in my opinion is the cog that is going to get this whole wheel turning, so he is the news we are primarily waiting on. In addition, Isaac Bonga is also questionable. Robinson has been playing heavy minutes recently and has started his past two games. Bonga is averaging around 18 minutes per game as well. If either should miss Troy Brown should absorb those minutes, which will add to his increased minutes he has already been playing. This team just isn’t very deep at guard right now and another one being out will shift this lineup dramatically. Bradley Beal is the only safe high minutes high usage guy on this team, though Napier did play 40 minutes of 10.9x value his last game out. I listed this as potential top plays, as nothing is for certain with this team right now, but keep an eye on the news as the night goes on.

About James Smizek

James is a daily fantasy sports veteran dating all the way back to his days of writing content on DraftStreet.com for contest tickets. James specializes in NCAAF and NFL with a side helping of Tennis/NBA/MLB/XFL. James is from Wisconsin and a die-hard Milwaukee Brewers fan. You can reach out to James on Twitter @iKezims

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