The Primer – DFS NHL Edition – Saturday, February 29

The Primer – DFS NHL Edition for Saturday, February 29

Games on the Main Slate: 8

Games with Projected 6.5 goal totals: VAN/TOR

Favourites that are -165 or greater: TOR, OTT, ARI

Where to Expect Chalk

  • As large favourites at home tonight against the Canucks in the only game with a projected total of 6.5 goals, I think you’ll see a fair amount of ownership on the Matthews line along with the Leafs top PP unit.  TOR2 would be a lower owned option – but they should be one of the more popular stack options as well at the discounted price point compared to the Matthews Line – plus, Tavares and Nylander play on the top PP unit.
  • I expect the top line for Ottawa along with Chabot to be popular for the heavily favoured Sens as they take on the Red Wings.  Tkachuk is a little more expensive than I’d like, but he is balanced out nicely with some nice value spread across the rest of the line.
  • I think that the top line and top PP unit for the Oilers will be one of the more popular stacking options as they play at home against Winnipeg in a game that I think will be high scoring.

Some Edges to Attack Tonight…

  • I like the spot for Vancouver tonight as a medium priced stacking option, focusing exposure on the Horvat line and top PP unit as they take on the Leafs in a game that should be a shoot-out.  The Leafs have been solid at defending in their last two games, but I’m not expecting that to last.
  • Pittsburgh could slip under the radar from an ownership standpoint in a plus match-up on the road in San Jose.  I like the sot for PIT2 and the top PP unit for the Pens in a plus match-up.
  • I like the spot for OTT1 and OTT PP1 tonight a lot against Detroit.  I expect them to be popular, but I could see some reluctance by some when it comes to loading up on a team so low in the standings, but Detroit is that bad at defending that I have no issue with it.

Some Spots to Consider Fading…

  • With a projected total of 5 goals featuring two of the better defensive teams in the game, I have no problem eliminating skaters from DAL/STL tonight in what should be a tightly contested affair.
  • Carolina and the Habs have a projected total of 6 goals tonight, but I’d be surprised if we saw a stack from this game end up being a part of a large field GPP win.  I have no problem fading the skaters in this game as well.

Best of luck for those playing today and here’s to hoping it’s a good night for you in your NHL DFS action! 

If you have any questions at all, you can find me on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy!

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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