Welcome to The Daily Tennis Trio. The goal of this article is to provide you with building blocks for roster construction on DraftKings and FanDuel. I will attempt to highlight the players in this article at a high, middle, and value tier. Note at the time of typing this FanDuel does not have a Tennis slate up and I will only be focusing on Draftkings.
Top Tier – Cristian Garin (DK: $9,800)
Garin is fresh off of a title at Cordoba with a three-set victory over Diego Schwartzman. The quick turnaround would have had him in a tournament last Monday but instead, Garin decided to withdraw, citing a leg injury, though common sense points to needing rest. With a 4-0 record on clay to open up the year, it is easy to highlight Garin as a player that is in great form. The big knock to Garin is his tendencies to start very slow. This is highlighted in losing the first set in three of his victories, before storming back to dominate the matches. Against Cuevas, Garin lost 1-6 before winning the next two 6-3 6-4. Against Andrej Martin, he lost 2-6 before storming back to win 6-2 6-2. Speaking of Andrej Martin, that is who Garin will face in this match. If we ignore the slow start in the first set, Garin dominated Martin in quick fashion to close this one out. Moutet and Ramon-Vinolas present the two other high priced options here, but we can get Garin at a slight discount over both.
Mid Tier – Jiri Vesely (DK: $8,100)
Sticking with players in great form, Jiri Vesely is now one week removed from his victory in the Maharashtra Open. Vesely didn’t admittedly face the highest competition out there in his five-match run to the title, though still had a great showing and no achievement should go unnoticed. Vesely has struggled at the tour level in his pro seasons with losing records in all but does carry around a 40-45% winning percentage. This is a guy who has had success and has shown promise, though you need to pick and choose where to use him and in what spots. This is an interesting spot for sure as he will face wildcard entrant Brandon Nakashima. Nakashima won the Junior Masters back in 2018 and this will be his first ATP Tour Level match. Vegas actually has this match with even odds for Nakashima and Vesely at -130. Normally with a match like this, it would have fade written all over it as I think it could easily make it to three sets. However, Vesely is coming off of a week of rest and a title which will do wonders for the confidence. This isn’t an all-in play for me, but I still like the Tour experience of Vesely to beat out someone in their first career appearance.
Potential Upset Tier – Ryan Harrison (DK: $6,200)
When it comes down to value on some slates we have to focus on the higher-priced players form instead of the lesser price players to try and establish value where we can. Damir Dzumhur hasn’t had a great start to 2020, going 0-3 in tour draws and a few wins in qualifiers to get to the tour draw (only to then lose). For fairness, Dzumhur has faced Wawrinka, FAA, and Seppi and he also has taken a set in those three matches, but with a low ace percentage, his fantasy ceiling has always remained low and has let his opponents stay in matches. The prices here are dictated by Vegas, but Dzumhur is only a -220 favorite at the time of typing this, though he carries a $9,200 price tag on DK. This has made Ryan Harrison at +180, a $6,200 priced player which is slightly off if we are comparing odds to pricing value. Harrison and Dzumhur have met twice before, with each winning once, though in the match Dzumhur won it was a three-set match with Harrison still winning 16 games. The realist in me knows that Dzumhur is the favorite and does hold an advantage in this one, but on the short clip we have head to head and the odds not entirely equaling out still give us some value to work with as a cheap option here. This same argument can be made for Federico Coria in his match against Corentin Moutet. Moutet is just a -190 favorite with Coria at +155, though they are priced at the widest margin on DraftKings with Moutet costing $10,800 (!!!) and Coria at just $4,700. These are just some slight inefficiencies that make throwing the tournament dart a little sweeter.