Welcome to The Daily Tennis Trio. The goal of this article is to provide you with building blocks for roster construction on DraftKings and FanDuel. I will attempt to highlight the players in this article at a high, middle, and value tier. Note at the time of typing this FanDuel does not have a Tennis slate up and I will only be focusing on Draftkings.
Top Tier – Diego Schwartzman (DK: $10,200)
Schwartzman and Delbonis have met seven times in their career with Delbonis winning the first three 2016 and prior and Schwartzman taking the last four. During that time Schwartzman has established himself as one of the top players on tour. Schwartzman had a final run at Cordoba and a nice run at the Australian Open before falling to Djokovic. You won’t get an overpowering serve game out of Schwartzman but you will get a great return game and with Delbonis also not having a strong serve or ace game, there is a heavy edge to Schwartzman here. Mix in the recent form from Schwartzman and I can see this one ending in straight sets pretty quickly.
Mid Tier – Pablo Cuevas (DK: $8,600)
Cuevas is 3-1 to open his clay season and his one loss came to eventual Cordoba champ, Cristian Garin. His matchup today is Albert Ramos-Vinolas, who has went to three sets in two of his three wins, and his other win was a close match against the man I have written up below as a value play on this slate. Cuevas and Vinolas have met eight times in their career with Cuevas winning seven of them. If you have read this article before I don’t like factoring in head to head a ton, but an eight-game sample is decently large enough and five of those matches came on clay. Vinolas’ one win came back in 2015 in a three-set match. These two carry pretty equal ELO ratings on clay courts and both have relatively similar starts to this season, though we will back the slight Vegas favorite in a 7-1 head to head advantage.
Potential Upset Tier – Facundo Bagnis (DK: $6,100)
Though Bagnis’ opponent here, Guido Pella is a -300 favorite, historical data shows matches between these two pretty even when it comes to matches on clay courts. In fact, these two have met 11 total times in their careers with Pella having a slight 6-5 edge on Bagnis. However, Pella is off a round of 16 loss (first match of the tournament) against Corentin Moutet and has lost five of his last six overall sets. Bagnis has had a strong start to his 2020 on clay, winning seven of nine matches on clay, including coming from the qualifier round for this matchup. I need to be clear here, Pella is the way better player in this match, but given current form and this wide pricing discrepancy from Pella to Bagnis, I think it has a lot of value for a potential upset. This all Argentine matchup should provide eyes in Buenos Aires.