Sharing core plays and a cheat sheet for January 12, 2020, NBA DFS slate on DraftKings.
Welcome to our NBA Core Plays & Cheat Sheet column for DraftKings.
We’ll be sharing this article with you for all main slates (2 games+) over the course of the 2019-2020 NBA season. Let’s get at it!
Draymond Green is a great price on DK today for $5,100
He leads our FC projections model today in terms of value at a 6.1 mark with a 31.13 point expectation. That could be a little overstated, but based on recent FPPM metrics and his 32.5 MPG average over his last 2 games, I’m encouraged that this may prove to come to life. His price is as cheap as he’s been all season, and a 5.0 ROI floor feels pretty easily attainable. I expect he’ll be popular today, but with PG/SF eligibility, I think it’s worth plenty of exposure.
Omari Spellman for $4,100 is looking like a rock solid value, too
I really like Glenn Robinson as well (better FD value), but with PF/C eligibility and a rising stock with 31.44 DKP on average in his last 4 games, Spellman is the guy I think you need to target for lower-tier value on the Warriors right now. He started last game for Golden State, played 28 minutes and put up a very solid 17-5-3-3 line in that time (8.5 ROI). While I think he’s more reliable for 22-25 points right now than 30+, you’ll gladly benefit from the situation at the moment for a very fair price.
So far this year, he’s fifth in the league in usage with a 33.5% mark, behind only Harden, Giannis, Luka and Trae – but the FPPG in 2019-20 wouldn’t necessarily suggest he’s been an elite DFS play. That said, with no George today, he should see nearly 40 minutes like we had out of him on Friday (38 minutes) with tremendous usage (37.6%) – where he finished with a 61.25 fantasy point mark thanks to a masterful 36-9-5-3-1 line. The Nuggets are a far thought defensive team, so I wouldn’t have the ceiling as quite that high. But a 50+ day is within reach for $9,000.
Devin Booker is playing some of his best basketball right now and is a great core play
He’s on fire right now with 8 straight games of at least 41 fantasy points, which at this price means a 5.0 ROI average – not to mention upside for more given he’s eclipsed 48 points in 3 of his last 4, too. The Hornets are a very average team defensively, and as the focal point of the offense (20th in the NBA in usage with 28.9% on the year and number one on the Suns), his TS% of 62.7% is just a notch behind James Harden among those in the top 20 in usage – so the efficiency is there. Play him in cash games at minimum here, where salary shouldn’t be a huge issue today.
Please note that we can only list a player at one position on the cheat sheets and unless otherwise noted I like the player at both of their eligible positions.
$ Tier PG SG SF PF C High Kyle Lowry (8.2k / 40.79) Kawhi Leonard (9k / 49.84) John Collins (8k / 45.97) LaMarcus Aldridge (7.3k / 39.68) Deandre Ayton (7.7k / 36.08) Medium Devonte' Graham (6.9k / 37.39) Kelly Oubre Jr. (6.7k / 37.26) PJ Washington (5.2k / 29.01) Jarrett Allen (5.5k / 33.28) Jamal Murray (6.4k / 35.66) Montrezl Harrell (6.1k / 34.12) Jonas Valanciunas (6.3k / 34.00) Will Barton (7.2k / 34.77) Jaren Jackson Jr. (6.6k / 35.15) Lou Williams (6.5k / 32.82) Low Draymond Green (5.1k / 33.01) Glenn Robinson III (4.4k / 25.67) Dario Saric (3.1k / 18.71) Omari Spellman (4.1k / 27.53) Bismack Biyombo (4.3k / 23.34) Patrick Beverley (4.8k / 28.13) Damion Lee (5k / 0.00) Jae Crowder (5k / 26.12) Alec Burks (5.4k / 31.87)