The Primer – NBA DFS Expert Analysis – January 11, 2020

Featuring in-depth analysis to help you crack the winning code for the NBA DFS slate on January 11, 2020.

In this article, we are going to go position by position breaking down the top plays and values for you. We will be using FanDuel’s pricing and positions due to the multiple position eligibility for most players on DraftKings.

Point Guard

Top Play

Luka Doncic

With no Porzingis, Doncic has been playing upper 30’s in minutes averaging 1.96 FPPM which is just insane. The match-up is better than you think with no Embiid to protect the rim. Doncic had one of his worst games of the season against the Lakers and look for him to rebound today.

Others to consider: Eric Bledsoe, Lonzo Ball

Top Value

Coby White

White went through a horrible slump in the month of December erasing himself from the minds of players everywhere but his teammates always said he’d rebound and in the last 3 games the shooting (and now the minutes) have returned. He has a nice match-up against the Pistons and he has a ceiling if he gets hot. Nice pivot or double-punt PG option with Rondo

Other Options: Rajon Rondo

Shooting Guard

Top Play 

CJ McCollum

Any time I can get an under priced shooter against the Bucks I’m going to do it and thats what we got here with McCollum. Portland had a horrible road trip and now returns home for a game they need to steal against the Bucks. The Bucks give up the most 3 point attempts in the league giving upside to any shooter. Hopefully McCollum can get hot here.

Others to consider: Josh Hart, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope


Small Forward

Top Play 

Giannis Antetokounmpo

With Lebron missing the 2nd half of the back-to-back with an “illness”, Giannis becomes the top SF by default. He has a great match-up against Portland who has no wing size players to defend him. Giannis is a 1.84 FPPM player and a total beast so he can be a GPP winning option even if he only has to play 3 quarters.

Others To Consider: Will Barton, Jaylen Brown

Power Forward

Top Play 

Kevin Love

Really good match-up here for Love against Paul Millsap who really doesn’t love to defend out to the 3-point line. This is one of the reasons that Denver concedes the 4th most points in the league to opposing PF’s. Love is too talented to be in the low 7k price range and is in a great spot to break the slate.

Others To Consider: Jayson Tatum, Sekou Doumbouya

Center

Nikola Jokic

I could give you a lot of stats on Jokic but we saw against Atlanta what his ceiling is against teams that don’t have rim protection. Jokic is a 1.37 FPPM player on the season and expect him to be closer to 1.50 FPPM. If I could only pay up for one stud today it would be Jokic (but he makes a great pairing with Love).

Others to Consider: Andre Drummond, Brook Lopez

 

About CJ Kaltenbach

CJ has been around a long time having started playing DFS in 2014. He focuses on MLB/NBA/NFL but has become quite passionate about the XFL. CJ is originally from Boston (explains his die-hard Boston sports fandom) but currently lives in St. Louis. CJ can be reached on Twitter @TheSeigeDFS

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