Welcome to the FC Insights Running Back Targets Article. In this post, we will be breaking down our top options and plays at the RB position for each DFS week of the 2019-2020 NFL DFS season.
In this article, I am going to give you the top eight running backs in my personal model which uses a number of factors like Vegas total, match-up, salary, etc. Please note that just because a player is not in this article doesn’t mean that I don’t like them or that they are not in my player pool.
Dalvin Cook ($8,700 FD, $9,500 DK)/Alexander Mattison ($5,100 FD, $4,500 DK)
If Cook plays he is my top running back on this slate if he is not able to play Mattison would be the top value on this slate. The reason why I am so high on both guys besides their talent is the match-up with the Lions. The Lions are allowing the tenth-most rushing yards per game this season and the third-most fantasy points per game to the position.
Devonta Freeman ($6,000 FD, $5,400 DK)
Freeman is only averaging 42.2 rushing yards per game this season but that doesn’t really bother me this week for two reasons. The first is his work in the passing game. Freeman has at least three catches in all but one game this season and is averaging 29.5 receiving yards per game. The second reason Freeman’s lack of rushing yards doesn’t bother me is his match-up against the Panthers. The Panthers are allowing the most rushing yards per attempt, fourth-most rushing yards per game, and second-most fantasy points per game to running backs this season. At his salary, Freeman is going to be a staple of my lineups this week.
Nick Chubb ($7,900 FD, $8,000 DK)
Chubb finally had a bad game last week only rushing for 58 yards but I don’t really care about that game as Chubb has shown he is a beast. Chubb leads the NFL in rushing yards and is tied for second in rushes of 20 yards or more with eight. Chubb is not only one of the best running backs in the NFL but the match-up against the Bengals doesn’t get much better. This season the Bengals are allowing the most rushing yards per game and eighth-most fantasy points per game to running backs.
Leonard Fournette ($7,500 FD, $7,800 DK)
If you are willing to roster Christian McCaffrey at his expensive salary there is no reason why you shouldn’t want to roster Fournette at his salary as the difference between the two is not that wide with the only real difference being McCaffrey’s touchdowns. In his past five games, Fournette is averaging 7.4 catches per game, 103 total yards and 20.1 fantasy points per game with only three touchdowns scored. In that same time period, McCaffrey is averaging 7.2 catches per game, 146.6 total yards, and 30.86 fantasy points with six touchdowns. Not only is the gap not really that wide between the two players other than their salary but I actually like Fournette’s match-up better than McCaffrey’s this week. This season the Chargers have allowed the seventh-most catches to running backs and ninth-most fantasy points per game to the position.
Derrick Henry ($9,100 FD, $8,200 DK)
Henry missed practice yesterday but I don’t think we should be all that considered as I think it was just a rest day for Henry. If Henry misses more practices during the week then I might worry. With that being said going in with the mindset that Henry is fully healthy I don’t see how you don’t roster him right now. Henry has a rushing touchdown in five of his past six games and has rushed for at least 149 yards in three straight games. The Raiders while not the best match-up are not a team that I think can slow Henry down and we should see him run wild once again.
Le’Veon Bell ($7,300 FD, $7,200 DK) Bell has let me down a ton this season but I doubt he lets me down this week as the Jets take on the Dolphins. The Dolphins are allowing the second-most rushing yards per game and fourth-most fantasy points per game to running backs. When these two teams faced off earlier in the season, Bell had 66 yards rushing and eight catches for 55 yards on his way to 20.1 fantasy points.
With Bell out Bilal Powell becomes my favorite running back on the slate.
Christian McCaffrey ($11,000 FD, $10,300 DK)
The question you have to ask yourself every week is if McCaffrey is worth his enormous salary or not. I really cannot answer that question for you but for me personally, I am only going to have a couple of shares of McCaffrey this week as I really don’t know if McCaffrey is worth his salary. I already touched on one of the reasons why I feel this way in my write up about Leonard Fournette. I also have a question on McCaffrey’s role moving forward with Ron Rivera’s firing.
LeSean McCoy ($6,100 FD, $4,400 DK)
I hate the match-up for McCoy against a Pats that is allowing the fifth-fewest rushing yards per game and fewest fantasy points per game to running backs this season but I am having a hard time not having some shares to him at his salary as he is in line for a lot of work. Both of the D. Williams for the Chiefs have missed practice this week and only Damien Williams has a reasonable shot to play but honestly, it is not looking like he is likely to play.