The Primer – NBA DFS Expert Analysis – December 2, 2019

Featuring in-depth analysis to help you crack the winning code for the NBA DFS slate on December 2, 2019

In this article, we are going to go position by position breaking down the top plays and values for you. We will be using FanDuel’s pricing and positions due to the multiple position eligibility for most players on DraftKings.

Point Guard

Top Play

Trae Young

Trae Young has been unreal this year and he draws a match-up against a Warriors team that has no rim protection. Combine that with Trae’s super high 33.6% USDG and his 1.32 FPPM and it’s clear why he’s the top PG option on the slate.

Others to consider: Malcolm Brogdon, Ben Simmons

Top Value

Tyus Jones

With Ja Morant week to week, Tyus Jones moves into the starting role which at his free price tag is all you need to know he’s a top value option on the slate. The match-up against the Pacers isn’t a dream spot but it’s really good given his 0.83 FPPM clip so far this year.

Others to Consider: Dennis Smith Jr., De’Anthony Melton

Shooting Guard

Top Play 

RJ Barrett

With Frank N. ruled out there is more ball handling responsibilities on the floor which will help the upside on RJ Barrett. RJ Barrett plays a ton of minutes and averages a very respectable 0.90 FPPM even with a traditional PG on the floor, with more assist opportunities available he should sport a higher usage than his current 24.4% rate. The match-up against the Bucks is hard but on this short slate going for glory here.

Others to Consider: Jeremy Lamb, Devin Booker

Top Value

DeAndre Bembry

With Kevin Huerter still out and Allen Crabbe doubtful, high minute DeAndre Bembry is back in our lives. DeAndre Bembry can be active on the floor as illustrated by his 0.83 FPPM on the season and the match-up against the Warriors short handed is solid.

Others to Consider: Donte DiVincenzo, Damyean Dotson

Small Forward

Top Play 

Giannia Anteokoumpo

It’s a six game slate with one true super star, it’s hard to imagine arguing that the guy averaging 1.88 FPPM isn’t the top play and worthy of being in your lineup. Blowout risk vs the lowly Knicks is the only thing that stops him from being the highest scoring player on the slate.

Others To Consider: Kelly Oubre. Jr. Tobias Harris

Top Value

James Ennis

Value at SF is the worst it’s been all year so lets go with Ennis whose been playing mid-20’s minutes and he draws a match-up against the Jazz which should require his defensive abilities on the wing. He’s nothing special and has to make some shots to make value but if you are forced into a SF value option he’s the guy.

Others to Consider:  Joe Ingles, Justin Holiday

Power Forward

Top Play 

Julius Randle

Randle has let me down a bunch this season but this match-up against the Bucks is the best you can get as they give up the most points to opposing PF’s on the season and Randle has the range to attack the Bucks D who concedes 3’s at an alarming rate. Sure the Knicks spacing is terrible but in this spot Randle should be able to get up his favorite shots early and often.

Others to Consider:  Domantas Sabonis, Al Horford

Top Value

Marquese Chriss

With Draymond Green out for rest, the Warriors are back to 8.5 bodies which means the Chriss/Spellman/Paschall trio is back playing larger than normal minutes. I chose to write up Chriss who at 1.13 has the highest FPPM of the group but all are very viable value options on this shorter slate.

Others to Consider: Omari Spellman, Eric Paschall

Center

Top Play 

Joel Embiid

Embiid has been taking a career high in 3 point attempts and draws a match-up against the immobile Rudy Gobert which should allow Embiid to get those great looks early and often. That’s one of the reasons Utah has conceded the 2nd most points in the league against centers. On a slate without a ton of true studs it shouldn’t e too hard to make him fit.

Others to Consider: Wendell Carter Jr., Mitchell Robinson

 

 

About CJ Kaltenbach

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