The Cruncher List for Week 13: FanDuel & DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Advice & Picks | Game-By-Game Analysis

The Cruncher List | Week 13 FanDuel & DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Advice, Tips & Picks.

Here to help you build the best possible FanDuel & DraftKings NFL Week 13 Line-up

 

Tampa Bay (-2.5) @ Jacksonville, Total: 47.5

Tampa Bay – Projected total: 25 points

The Bucs come into this one with one of the higher totals on the slate, playing on the road in Jacksonville.  The Jags defence has been trending down lately – they were just picked apart by the Titans a week ago, and I think they are in tough again this week against a very talented Bucs attack that can put up points in bunches.

Good luck trying to figure out whether it is a Godwin or Evans week.  I’ll stick with my incorrect hunch from last week if I was forced to pick, and continue to prefer Evans.  I recommend exposure to both though for MME, perhaps splitting line-ups with one of them in each set of builds, especially in line-ups where you have rostered Winston.

The Jags have been bad against the run this year, giving up the 8th most points per game on DK this year, a number that has been trending worse as the season goes along.  This puts RB Ronald Jones in a great spot this week – and at an affordable price point, he’s on The Cruncher List.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Ronald Jones
  • WR Mike Evans

Good Plays

  • QB Jameis Winston
  • WR Chris Godwin

Jacksonville – Projected total: 22.5

The Jags come into this one with the dream match-up for their passing attack, going up against the Bucs secondary.  At their price points, QB Nick Foles and WR D.J. Chark are elite options who I expect to be able to take advantage of this match-up.  WR Dede Westbrook and WR Chris Conley are worth sprinkling into your builds, especially in line-ups that have Foles locked and loaded.

I don’t have interest in Fournette this week, going up against the defence that has allowed the fewest fantasy points to opposing RB’s this season.

 

The Cruncher List

  • QB Nick Foles
  • WR D.J. Chark

Good Plays

  • WR Dede Westbrook (DK)

Green Bay (-6.5) @ New York Giants, Projected total: 44.5

Green Bay – Projected Total: 25.5 points

Keep an eye on the weather in this one.

The Packers have a high projected total, travelling on the road to face a defence that has struggled to defend all positions.  I prefer other QB’s on the board to Aaron Rodgers this week.  Outside of a two game stretch, if you remove the name – there isn’t much in the data to like here.

WR Devante Adams is a solid option and should continue to be in line for heavy targets.  He just misses the cut for The Cruncher List, but he’s a solid play.

RB Aaron Jones was quiet last week, but with his very high ceiling – he’s worth getting some exposure to.  I love the spot for him this week as long as the field isn’t too sloppy.  For some reason, they haven’t been using him in the passing game since Adams’ return.  While I expected his targets to come down a little bit, the lack of usage has been baffling.

The Packers DST is a great option this week against a turnover prone offence.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Aaron Jones
  • Packers DST

Good Plays

  • WR Davante Adams

Giants – Projected Total: 19 points

WR Darius Slayton is probably worth throwing into your line-up builds this week.  He has shown great chemistry with QB Daniel Jones and with Golden Tate out this week, Slayton should see an uptick in snaps and target share.

RB Saquon Barkley hasn’t looked like himself coming back from injury.  He has had a lack of big plays, and has not been used heavily in the passing game.  For now, I’m out on Barkley.

The Cruncher List

  • WR Darius Slayton

Good Plays

  • None

New York Jets (-3) @ Cincinnati, Projected Total: 41.5

New York Jets, Projected Total: 22.25 points

The Jets take on the Bengals this week as small road favourites.  I like the spot for Darnold, who comes into this one on a nice run.  He’s a high floor, high ceiling option against one of the worst defences in the league, a unit that has given up the 5th most fantasy points to QB on the season.

WR Robbie Anderson is intriguing.  There is plenty of risk here – but he showed promise a week ago, and I wouldn’t be shocked to see him build on that effort.  I don’t think I’d stack all of Darnold, Anderson and WR Jamieson Crowder, but Crowder is probably someone you should make sure is in your player pool this week as well, especially on DK.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Sam Darnold

Good Plays

  • WR Robbie Anderson
  • WR Jamieson Crowder
  • TE Ryan Griffin

Cincinnati, Projected Total: 19.25 points

The Bengals have a low projected total, and even with QB Andy Dalton upgrading the QB position with his return to the starting line-up, I don’t have a lot of interest here.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Washington @ Carolina (-9.5), Projected Total: 38.5

Washington, Projected Total: 14.5 points

This is a very easy pass for e.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Carolina, Projected Total: 24 points

The Panthers check in as large home favourites.  RB Christian McCaffrey is an elite option, as per usual.  The only question you will have to ask yourself is if you feel comfortable enough with some of the value plays on the board.

WR D.J. Moore finally saw some regression to the mean in terms of his touchdown %, scoring twice last week en route to a monster game.  He is an elite option yet again this week.

WR Curtis Samuel is more of a boom/bust option – but it wouldn’t shock me to see him get free deep 1-2x in this one.  He’s worth adding to your player pool.

The Panthers DST is an elite option this week.

 

The Cruncher List

  • RB Christian McCaffrey
  • WR D.J. Moore
  • Panthers DST

Good Plays

  • WR Curtis Samuel
  • TE Greg Olsen

Tennessee @ Indianapolis (-1.5), Projected Total: 42.5

Tennessee Projected Total: 20.5 points

The Titans have been rolling, but this is a tough draw for them, going up against a stout Colts defence.  I may get burned here as they have been remarkably strong since Tannehill took over under center – but I’m going with a straight fade for the Titans this week.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Indianapolis, Projected Total: 22 points

With WR T.Y. Hilton ruled out (along with Ebron), I think that TE Jack Doyle will see copious amounts of targets, putting him in play as an elite TE.  RB Jonathan Williams should continue to see a lot of work in the backfield, and I wouldn’t be shocked to see him clear 20 carries in this one yet again as the Colts try to shorten this game from a pace perspective.  He’s worth considering – but in this match-up, I don’t have him on The Cruncher List.

Outside of that, I don’t think there is too much to love here in what I feel will be closely contested, low-scoring affair.

The Cruncher List

  • TE Jack Doyle

Good Plays

  • RB Jonathan Williams

San Francisco @ Baltimore (-5.5), Total: 45.5

49ers, Projected total: 20 points

The Ravens defence has been outstanding of late, completely shutting down their last 4 opponents since their bye week, and that list includes the Pats, Texans, and Rams.  With a low projected total here, I don’t like the spot.  I think that Garoppolo will struggle, especially if the 49ers fall behind early.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Baltimore, Projected Total: 25.5 points

This one should be an incredible match-up.  The 49ers defence, going up against Lamar Jackson.  The projected point total here is high for the Ravens, and I would suspect that they continue to see heavy betting action after what they did earlier this season to the Pats defence.

I think that QB Lamar Jackson and RB Mark Ingram are great plays at what should be low(er) ownership levels this week.  Until someone slows down this offence, I think they are worth continuing to get exposure to until someone is able to slow them down.  As for the passing game, outside of mixing in exposure in the single digits to WR Marquise Brown and TE Mark Andrews, I don’t have much interest here.

I love the Ravens DST to force a few turnovers in this one, especially if they get up early.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Lamar Jackson

Good Plays

  • RB Mark Ingram
  • WR Marquise Brown
  • Ravens DST

Philadelphia (-10) @ Miami; Projected Total: 44.5

Philadelphia, Projected Total: 27.25 points

The Eagles look to be getting a bunch of players back this week with WR Alshon Jeffery, Nelson Agholor and OT Lane Johnson looking like they will suit up this week.  QB Carson Wentz banged up his hand in last week’s loss, but this is a prime bounce-back spot for him going up against the Dolphins.  He’s on the Cruncher List, while his WR’s are secondary options this week.  TE Zach Ertz comes into this one on quite a run, seeing at least 11 targets in three straight games while catching at least 9 passes for 91 or more yards in each of them.  He’s not cheap, but is a great option at the position if you can afford him.  TE Dallas Goedert is worth adding to your player pool as well if you are looking for a value play at the position.

With RB Jordan Howard still banged up and not looking likely to suit up, RB Miles Sanders continues to be in line for a heavy workload.  He’s an elite option against one of the worst run defences in football.  If you like revenge games, enter RB Jay Ajayi.

The Eagles DST is one of the best on the board.

All in all, there’s lots to like here as the Eagles try to move to a tie atop the NFC East.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Carson Wentz
  • RB Miles Sanders
  • TE Zach Ertz
  • Eagles DST

Good Plays

  • WR Alshon Jeffery
  • WR Nelson Agholor
  • TE Dallas Goedert

Miami, Projected Total: 17.25 points

The only Dolphin I continue to be interested in rostering is WR Devante Parker.  I think he continues to be a high floor option due to his usage in the offence.  Philly has been improving their secondary play a great deal of late – which is enough for me to keep him off The Cruncher List this week – but he’s worth having in your player pool in my books.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • WR Devante Parker

Cleveland (-1.5) @ Pittsburgh, Projected Total: 39.5

Cleveland, Projected Total: 20.5 points

This game is a pretty easy straight out fade for me.  I expect it to be low scoring and to not have much fantasy appeal.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Pittsburgh, Projected Total: 19 points

 

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Oakland @ Kansas City (-10.5), Projected Total: 51 points

Oakland – Projected Total: 20.25 points

The Raiders put up a dud a week ago, and check in as double digit under-dogs this week as they travel to KC for a key divisional match-up.  If the Raiders are playing from behind in this one, look for QB Carr to be forced to pass 40-50x, making the likes of WR Tyrell Williams, TE Darren Waller intriguing.  Waller has been quite quiet of late, but could see a few more targets with the injury to WR Hunter Renfrow.  They are worth adding to your player pool this week, though I don’t think they are safe enough to have them on The Cruncher List.  The same could be said for Carr.

RB Josh Jacobs could run the risk of being game scripted out in favour of RB J.Richard.  Jacobs can catch the ball though, so maybe the Raiders will opt to leave him in – but either way, Richard would see more snaps if KC gets up early – and he’s an interesting contrarian option on DK this week for a few % of exposure.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • QB Derek Carr
  • WR Tyrell Williams
  • TE Darren Waller

Kansas City, Projected Total: 30.75 points

The Chiefs have the highest projected total on the board by a wide margin.  They are without RB Damien Williams, meaning that RB LeSean McCoy and RB Darrel Williams should share the workload in the backfield.  I prefer Williams, and I actually think he’s an outstanding play at his price point on both sites.

As for the passing game, Mahomes, T.Hill and T.Kelce are all in amazing spots and elite plays if you can afford them.  You could even opt to fully stack Chiefs, using the three high spends and complimenting them with McCoy or Darrel Williams.

The Chiefs DST is worth adding to your pool for scoring upside.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Patrick Mahomes
  • RB Darrel Wiliams
  • WR Tyreke Hill
  • TE Travis Kelce

Good Plays

  • RB LeSean McCoy

Rams (-3) @ Cardinals, Projected Total: 46.5 points

Los Angeles Rams, Projected Total: 24.75 points

Even in a get-right match-up with the Cardinals, until I see Jared Goff do something positive, I have no problem fading the Rams.  He has not thrown a TD pass wince Week 8.  I think he’ll snap that trend this week, but I would be surprised if we saw him put up a large-field GPP winning type of line.

The Rams DST is worth adding to your builds this week against a banged up Kyler Murray.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • Rams DST

Arizona, Projected Total: 21.75 points

With a low projected total this week and a banged up QB, I will likely be fading the Cards in the end.  I will update if I get more details about the injury to Kyler Murray – but as of now, I have no problem avoiding the Cardinals, who are going up against a Rams defence that has been playing very solid football of late.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Los Angeles Chargers (-3) @ Denver Broncos, Total: 38.5

Chargers Projected points: 20.75 points

The Chargers are small road favourites this week against the Broncos, who have allowed the 4th fewest fantasy points per game to opposing QB’s, and who started the year awful at defending the run, before improving to the point where they are in the middle of the pack now.  Due to volume, you can consider adding WR Keenan Allen, RB Austin Ekeler, and RB Melvin Gordon to your builds – my favourite from the group is Ekeler – but keep in mind that all three carry a fair amount of risk, and I would leave them for large-field GPP MME formats only.

TE Hunter Henry is an intriguing play against a Denver defence that has allowed the 13th most DKPPG on the season.

The Chargers DST is worth getting exposure to in terms of adding them to your pool, but I do prefer other options on the board.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • RB Austin Ekeler
  • TE Hunter Henry
  • Chargers DST

Denver, Projected: 17.75 points

With a low total here, I have no problem fading the Broncos this week.

Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Best of luck in your Week 13 DFS action!

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

Check Also

Week 14 NFL DFS Core Plays & Cheat Sheet for FanDuel

Sharing our core plays and cheat sheet for the Week 14 2019 NFL DFS slate …