The Primer – NBA DFS Expert Analysis – November 29, 2019

Featuring in-depth analysis to help you crack the winning code for the NBA DFS slate on November 29, 2019

In this article, we are going to go position by position breaking down the top plays and values for you. We will be using FanDuel’s pricing and positions due to the multiple position eligibility for most players on DraftKings.

Point Guard

Top Play

Trae Young

Luka Doncic is better but Trae is making Atlanta look smart for loving him. He’s been unreal taking 22+ shots in 4 of his last 5 games while dishing out 7+ assists in all of those as well. Trae is averaging a very good 1.17 FPPM this season. The match-up against Indiana isn’t perfect but it’s good enough to be the top option at this sub-10k price tag.

Others to consider: Ben Simmons, Luka Doncic

Top Value

Rajon Rondo

Rondo has been averaging 23-26 minutes a night and as a player averaging about a fantasy point a minute this year, that’s more than acceptable at his price tag. The match-up is the one you dream about at night against the Washington Wizards who give up the 6th most points to opposing point guards and it’s also a massive pace-up spot for the Lakers.

Others to consider: Mike Conley, Patrick Beverley

Shooting Guard

Top Play 

Jrue Holiday

With Favors and Zion still out, Holiday has taken up the work sporting a 27.8% USG over the last 5 games while posting three of his highest fantasy point nights at the same time. Tonight, they draw a good match-up against Oklahoma City who has given up the 11th most points to opposing shooting guards but that was with Diallo starting. With notoriously bad defender Dennis Schroder playing the extra minutes that match-up is better than it appears on paper.

Others to Consider: Devin Booker, Bradley Beal

Top Value

Terrence Ross

With Aaron Gordon questionable and Nikola Vucevic out, Terrence Ross gets a usage and minutes bump off the bench. Like with any jump shooter they have to get their points to mash value but he gets a nice match-up tonight against the Raptors who give up the 3rd most points to opposing shooting guards.

Others to Consider: Evan Fournier, Furkan Korkmaz

Small Forward

Top Play 

Lebron James

Giannis is always in play but hard to argue that Lebron James vs the Wizards isn’t the best spot on the slate. Lebron has a superstar FPPM at 1.49 and has been sporting a 31.7% USG rate. The Wizards play one of the fastest paces in the league and give up the 6th most points per game to opposing small forwards. Just need to get 4 quarters of Lebron to get the ceiling.

Others To Consider: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Paul George

Top Value

Nicolas Batum

Value at SF is the worst it’s been all year so lets go with Batum who got a season high 31 minutes last game. While Charlotte a lot of the time will close with it’s younger players, Batum when playing well can be the one vet who stays on the floor, and if he gets close to 30 minutes at this near min-price tag he is in a great situation to beat value.

Others to Consider:  Matisse Thybulle, Wes Iwundu

Power Forward

Top Play 

Anthony Davis

Like most slates this year, it’s Anthony Davis and everyone else. Davis has been averaging a superman like 1.65 FPPM this year and gets a match-up against the Wizards who have Rui Hachimura and Davis Bertans to guard him. That isn’t going to work out very well at all and like I mentioned for other Lakers this is a massive pace-up spot.

Others to Consider:  Kevin Love, Kawhi Leonard

Top Value

Kyle Kuzma

Apologies for writing up the entire Lakers team in this preview but it’s like they are priced to face the Monstars and not the Wizards. Kuzma has been playing 23-27 minutes a night which against the Wizards who give up the 6th most points to PF’s is really all you need.

Others to Consider: Aaron Gordon, Khem Birch (if AG sits)

Center

Top Play 

Bismack Biyombo

Bismack had his best game of the year last time out against Drummond and the Pistons posting a 19 point and 9 rebound game. While I don’t expect that again what I do expect is Bismack to play as many minutes as he can get without fouling which at this price makes him an attractive GPP option.

Others to Consider: Andre Drummond, Hassan Whiteside

 

 

About CJ Kaltenbach

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