Welcome to the FC Insights Tight End Targets Article. In this post, we will be breaking down our top options and plays at the TE position for each DFS week of the 2019-2020 NFL DFS season.
In this article, I am going to give you the top five tight ends in my personal model which uses a number of factors like Vegas total, match-up, salary, etc. Please note that just because a player is not in this article doesn’t mean that I don’t like them or that they are not in my player pool.
Last Weeks Results
Based off of DraftKings scoring
- Darren Waller (12.60 fantasy points, 2.3x value, TE7)
- Noah Fant (9.30 fantasy points, 2.5x value, TE13)
- Jared Cook (11.30 fantasy points, 2.6x value, TE9)
- Mark Andrews (17.50 fantasy points, 2.9x value, TE4)
- T.J. Hockenson (1.60 fantasy points, 0.4x value, TE33)
Zach Ertz ($6,100 FD, $6,000 DK)
After three lackluster games, Ertz has bounced back in a huge way in each of his past two games. Ertz has 11 targets and nine catches in each of those games and has at least 94 yards receiving in both games. Ertz has at least 18 fantasy points in both games as well. While there is a chance for Ertz to go back to producing this week I just don’t see it as the Eagles are beat up at the receiver position once again and the match-up against the Seahawks is a positive one. This season the Seahawks rank in the bottom 11 in receptions allowed, receiving yards allowed, touchdowns allowed and fantasy points allowed per game to tight ends.
Ryan Griffin ($5,600 FD, $4,200 DK)
Griffin is putting up huge numbers for the Jets right now. In his past three games not counting the one game that Chris Herndon who is now on the IR was able to play, Griffin has 15 catches for 225 yards and three scores. Griffin has at least 11 fantasy points in each of those games and has two games with at least 24 fantasy points. This week I am expecting another big game from Griffin as the Jets take on the Raiders. The Raiders are allowing an average of eight targets for 4.8 catches and 57.1 receiving yards per game to tight ends this season. The Raiders have also allowed the second-most touchdown passes and the fifth-most fantasy points per game to game to the position this season.
Rhett Ellison ($5,000 FD, $3,000 DK)
Evan Engram might play this week but it sounds like he will be out at least one more week. If that is the case I love Ellison as he has been solid in the two prior games that Engram missed. In those two games, Ellison has seen ten total targets and turned those targets into six catches for 72 yards. Ellison has at least six fantasy points in each of those games. Ellison not only would get the huge boost with Engram out but the match-up with the Bears is a good one. This season the Bears rank in the bottom ten in receptions allowed, receiving yards allowed and fantasy points allowed per game to tight ends.
Darren Waller ($6,200 FD, $5,700 DK)
Waller is one of the safest tight ends on this slate as he has at least 39 yards receiving in all but one game this season and at least seven fantasy points in each game this season. This week I am expecting more of the same from Waller as the match-up with the Jets is not as bad as it seems. The Jets are allowing the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends this season but that is mainly due to who they have faced as they have faced few good tight ends. The handful of good tight ends they have faced has found success against them.
Vance McDonald ($5,300 FD, $3,500 DK)
I don’t like McDonald but at his salary, I am willing to roster him as he has seen at least seven targets in three straight games for the Steelers and has at least three catches in four straight games. Both of those numbers should continue this week as the Steelers are likely without JuJu Smith-Schuster and could also be without Diontae Johnson which would free up targets for McDonald. The match-up against the Bengals is also a positive one as they are really struggling against tight ends allowing 17 catches for 217 yards and three scores since their bye week.