The Cruncher List for Week 11: FanDuel & DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Advice & Picks | Game-By-Game Analysis

The Cruncher List | Week 11 FanDuel & DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Advice, Tips & Picks.

Here to help you build the best possible FanDuel & DraftKings NFL Week 11 Line-up

If you are new to the Cruncher List – thank you for reading our game by game breakdown of the Main Slate of action for the season’s first Main Slate! If you are returning, you know the drill.

I will be breaking down each of the upcoming NFL games, providing my thoughts on who makes for good cash game plays on FanDuel and DraftKings.

I will note good picks for the week, and the options I feel are the best of the best… the guys who make The Cruncher List.  

I will be updating this piece throughout the week – so please check back for updates as they become available!

Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers (-4), Total: 49

Atlanta – Projected total: 22.5

The Falcons are road underdogs this week as they travel to Carolina in an attempt to knock off two divisional opponents who have records over .500.  The line has been moving sharply more to neutral, which has been an interesting development this week.  I think that the Falcons offensive players outside of RB Brian Hill will be lower owned than they should be this week.  Starting with Hill, he should assume a 3-down role with the injury to Freeman and with Ito Smith placed on IR.  He’s affordable and an elite play who will be popular this week.

As for the passing game, I don’t like any of the options enough for cash – but it would not shock me if QB Matt Ryan had a productive day in this one, hooking up with WR Julio Jones early and often.  They don’t quite make The Cruncher List this week – but are solid plays.  If you are looking for a very cheap option on DK, it would not shock me to see WR Russell Gage haul in 5-6 passes for a modest yardage total, making him worth consideration for a punt with upside – priced at $3,300.  He has seen 14 targets over the past two games, and without Hooper, I could see him getting a few more looks.  Finally, if you think that TE Austin Hooper is a product of the system, you have a shot at rostering his replacement for $3k in Luke Stocker.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Brian Hill

Good Plays

  • QB Matt Ryan
  • WR Julio Jones
  • WR Russell Gage (DK)

Carolina Panthers – Projected total: 26.5

The Falcons have done a pretty good job against opposing RB’s this season, giving up the 11th fewest points to the RB position on DK.  With that said, if you like some of the value plays on the board, it’s hard to argue with the production that McCaffrey has brough to the table.  There’s a good chance he ends the week with the highest final total, the only question to ask yourself is if his salary is too prohibitive to your line-up builds?

The passing game is in a good spot here as the Falcons have allowed the 4th most fantasy points to opposing QB’s, putting QB Kyle Allen in a great spot.  He’s affordable and a great value play at QB this week.  WR D.J. Moore continues to produce out of the slot for the Panthers and in a full PPR setting, he’s also on The Cruncher List for me.  He has seen 48 targets over the past five weeks and the only thing holding him back from crushing value is finding the end-zone, something he will do soon.  WR Curtis Samuel is a secondary play for me this week, but is worth exposure for MME large field GPP’s.

TE Greg Olsen, fresh off of a 8-98 week on 10 targets is an elite option at a thin TE position for the Main Slate this week.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Kyle Allen
  • WR D.J. Moore
  • TE Greg Olsen

Good Plays

  • RB Christian McCaffrey

Dallas (-7) @ Detroit, Projected total: 46.5

Dallas – Projected Total: 26.75 points

The Cowboys check in as large road favourites this week as they head to Detroit to take on the Matthew Stafford-less Lions.  Look for the Cowboys to focus on the ground game in this one, putting RB Ezekiel Elliott in a great spot this week against a Lions front seven that has allowed the most fantasy points to RB’s on the season.  Elliott is a RB that I haven’t used much at all this year – but I will be sprinkling in some exposure here….but I want to see it from him before putting him on The Cruncher List – so I guess if you’re asking me to make a call, I’m going with an under-weight position on him this week.  Gulp.

QB Dak Prescott and WR Amari Cooper are viable options this week, but I do prefer others on the board.

The Cowboys DST could have a big day going up against Jeff Driskel and are worth mixing into your builds.

The Cruncher List

  • Cowboys DST

Good Plays

  • QB Dak Prescott
  • RB Ezekiel Elliott
  • WR Amari Cooper

Detroit Lions – Projected Total: 19.75 points

With Stafford out another week, I don’t have interest in going after the Lions passing game against a pretty tough Dallas defence.  They are a pretty easy fade to me.

On DK, I have some intrigue in a contrarian play of RB J.D. McKissic, though there are better options on the board.  I wouldn’t be shocked to see him catch 6-8 passes in this one, and if he can find the endzone, he could be GPP relevant.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • RB J.D. McKissic

Jacksonville @ Indianapolis (-2), Projected Total: 43.5

Jacksonville, Projected Total: 20.75 points

This one should be a fun game to watch, however – I think the DFS impact will be minimal.  WR D.J. Chark is simply too cheap, and is a great play for his price point on both sites.  He’s been a little quiet of late, but I think he will have a massive week soon, and it would not shock me one bit if it happened this week with QB Nick Foles back under center.  I won’t be using him in cash, but he’s a great option nonetheless.

If you think that QB Nick Foles, who historically has leaned on his slot WR, will feed WR Dede Westbrook over and over again, he could be in play for DK – but I’ll avoid Westbrook this week.

RB Leonard Fournette is a 3-down back who will score….eventually.  His yardage is great, largely through volume on the ground and through the air – but he only has 1 TD on the season.  I don’t think this is a week where he busts out, but he’s worth some exposure for your large-field GPP’s this week in my opinion.

The Cruncher List

  • WR D.J. Chark

Good Plays

  • RB Leonard Fournette

Indianapolis Colts, Projected Total: 22.75 points

If you are looking for a lower owned pivot off of TE Greg Olsen this week – TE Eric Ebron is a viable option.  He saw double digit targets last week and while he was rather inefficient – he will have QB Jacoby Brissett back under center.  WR Zach Pascal disappointed many a week ago, and should see some more looks with Brissett starting – however, I do prefer other options on the board to both of them at their respect positions this week.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • TE Eric Ebron

Buffalo (-6) @ Miami, Projected Total: 40.5

Buffalo, Projected Total: 23.25 points – 930

There are three players I like here for Buffalo:

  • QB Josh Allen has been running the ball inside the 5 yard line plenty for the Bills.  He’s expensive, but has a high ceiling and shouldn’t be too high owned this week.  He does miss the cut for the Cruncher List though as the Dolphins defence has been looking better lately.
  • WR John Brown is in play this week, especially on FD where he is priced relatively cheaper.  He has been one of the more consistent WR’s in the league this year, clearing the 50 yard mark each and every week, and has the ability to get loose deep….he just has to be hit by Allen.
  • RB Devin Singletary let down many a week ago, but is in a prime get-right spot for Buffalo this week against a Miami front-seven that has allowed the 5th most DK points against RB’s this season and may be without LB Raekwon MacMillan this week.  He’s a great option that you should be able to get with less ownership than he had last week.
  • The Bills DST is one of the better options on the board this week, if you can afford them.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Devin Singletary
  • WR John Brown (FD)
  • Bills DST

Good Plays

  • QB Josh Allen
  • WR John Brown (DK)

Miami Dolphins, Projected Total: 17.25 points

The Dolphins have a low projected total this week, playing at home against a tough Bills secondary that makes me have no problems fading passing options for MIA this week.  As for the ground game, I don’t really care what the price point is, with a poor OL and a RB that can’t evade tackles at all, I’m not interested in RB Kalen Ballage either.

The Dolphins DST has been playing better football of late, and if you are looking for a $2500 or less priced D on DK, you could mix them in as a low-owned contrarian option against turnover prone Josh Allen.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • Dolphins DST (contrarian, value – DK)

Houston @ Baltimore (-4), Projected Total: 51.5

Houston, Projected Total: 23.75 points

I like the odds this game goes over….meaning there should be plenty of options worth considering here.  QB Deshaun Watson is a great option this week as I expect him to be throwing the ball plenty to try and keep up with the Ravens offence.  With WR Will Fuller out another week, WR DeAndre Hopkins is an elite option this week if you can afford him.  I expect him to be lower owned than some of the options in the Bucs/Saints game, making him a great pivot off of them.

The backfield should be a split this week between RB Carlos Hyde and RB Duke Johnson.  If you feel strongly about the game script one way or the other, you can go ahead and use one of them at their price points if you think that one of them will be on the field for the majority of snaps.

WR Kenny Stills and TE Darren Fells are worth mixing into game stacks combinations or even large-field MME builds for GPP’s.

The Cruncher List

  • QB DeShaun Watson
  • WR DeAndre Hopkins

Good Plays

  • None

Baltimore Ravens, Projected Total: 27.75 points

QB Lamar Jackson is priced up this week – but to be honest, I think you can still make a very strong case to start him against a Houston defence that is in all kinds of trouble this week.  After seeing how the Ravens sliced and diced the elite Patroits D – I don’t have much faith that the Texans will be able to slow them down.

I expect the backfield carries to continue to be split between Ingram and Edwards – with both of them having a slight (in the case of Ingram, a moderate) chance of breaking a slate if the Ravens decide to hand it off at the goal-line in bulk.  They’re worth working into your large-field MME builds, but I wouldn’t focus cash line-ups around them.

I don’t have interest in starting any of the receiving options will be large-field GPP winners this week, though I wouldn’t argue if someone wanted to sprinkle in WR Marquise Brown and/or TE Mark Andrews.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Lamar Jackson

Good Plays

  • RB Gus Edwards (contrarian, GPP low-owned w upside)

Denver @ Minnesota (-10), Total: 40

Denver, Projected total: 15 points

No interest here.  Easy fade for me.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Minnesota, Projected Total: 25 points

The Vikings will be without WR Adam Thielen this week, leaving WR Stefon Diggs as the main cog in the passing attack.  He should see a heavy dose of CB Chris Harris on Sunday, which is enough to keep him off of The Cruncher List.  I expect Cousins to heavily involve RB Dalvin Cook in the passing attack, and Cook is my favourite high-spend RB this week, despite the fact that Denver has been much better against the run of late.  I think that Cook is leaned on heavily to put points on the board for Minnesota in this one in both phases of the game.

The Vikings DST is an elite option this week.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Dalvin Cook
  • Vikings DST

Good Plays

  • WR Stefon Diggs

New Orleans (-5) @ Tampa Bay Projected Total: 49.5

New Orleans, Projected Total: 27.25 points

The Saints outside of WR Michael Thomas were a complete flop a week ago – but are in a prime get-right spot through the air against a Bucs secondary that is arguably the worst in football.

  • QB Drew Brees is an elite option this week.  We have seen any QB that has faced Tampa this year light them up, except for an injured Cam Newton.  Brees is a great play this week if you can afford him.
  • WR Michael Thomas is priced up – but still worth strong consideration.  He’s the safest WR in fantasy – and should have another massive week in this match-up.  The only downside to rostering him is the price point…but you’ll have to decide if you’re able to build a line-up around him if you pay up here.
  • TE Jared Cook is a great play this week.  He is priced affordably, and the Bucs have given up the 2nd most fantasy points to the TE position this season.
  • RB Alvin Kamara could do some damage in the passing game – but I do prefer other options on the board.  You’ll have a shot of getting Kamara at a very low ownership level compared to what he normally garners…something to consider for large-field GPP’s.
  • Going up against INT prone Jameis Winston, The Saints DST is worth mixing into builds, but I do prefer some others on the board for cash games.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Drew Brees
  • WR Michael Thomas
  • TE Jared Cook

Good Plays

  • RB Alvin Kamara

Tampa Bay, Projected Total: 22.25 points

The Bucs are large home under-dogs in this one, and going up against a tough Saints run defence – i don’t have interest in RB Ronald Jones after his break-out performance in Week 10.  The passing attack, however – is another story.  QB Jameis Winston, WR Chris Godwin, and WR Mike Evans are all worth consideration in this one.  Evans is my favourite of the bunch as CB Marshon Lattimore is banged up and even if he does suit up – i do expect him to be at less than 100%.

Godwin and Winston are worth mixing into large-field GPP builds, but I do prefer other options on the board to each of them.  TE O.J. Howard broke out last week, but I’ll take it with a grain of salt as it was against the Cardinals, who have been gashed by TE’s.  This week should be a good test to see if he will be able to salvage his season against a Saints defence that defends the position much better, giving up the 11th fewest points on DK to them.

The Cruncher List

  • WR Mike Evans

Good Plays

  • QB Jameis Winston
  • WR Chris Godwin

New York Jets @ Washington (-2), Projected Total: 38

New York Jets, Projected Total: 18 points

I dont have any interest in any Jets this week.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Washington, Projected Total: 20 points

To take the above comment one step further, I don’t have any interest in this game this week.  If you feel that Haskins can take advantage of a vulnerable Jets secondary, fire up Terry McLaurin.  Unfortunately, I am not in that camp.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • WR Terry McLaurin

Arizona @ San Francisco (-10), Projected Total: 44 points

Arizona – Projected Total: 17 points

While I have some interest in a couple options for season-long leagues, this isn’t a season long article – so I’ll keep it short and say I’m fine to fade the Cards this week.  That means that no, I don’t think RB Kenyan Drake will put up 32.1 DKP again against SF, though I do think he’ll be lower owned than he should be – and I think he’ll see most of the touches in the ARI backfield this week.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • RB Kenyan Drake

San Francisco, Projected Total: 27 points

I love a couple of value plays here, WR Deebo Samuel and RB Raheem Mostert.  They are priced $4,000 and $3,400 on DK, respectively.  For Samuel, I actually hope that WR Emmanuel Sanders does suit up, as it will help keep ownership levels lower on Samuel than if he sits.  For Mostert, this is assuming he is active and that Breida sits.  If that plays out, I expect him to fill the role usually filled by Breida, and for the price point on each site, Mostert could break the slate.  He has been one of the more efficient runners on a per touch basis this season – and he could finally be getting an opportunity here.  Of course, there is risk here, so be warned.

If you want to go the more traditional route to the 49ers backfield, RB Tevin Coleman is the way to go.  He should see 15+ touches in this one, and has a very high ceiling.

QB Jimmy Garoppolo and TE Ross Dwelley are the two other options to consider based on the match-up alone, though I don’t personally love either and prefer other options on the board.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Raheem Mostert
  • WR Deebo Samuel

Good Plays

  • QB Jimmy Garoppolo
  • RB Tevin Coleman

Cincinnati @ Oakland (-11), Projected Total: 48.5 points

Cincinnati, Projected Total: 18.75 points

The Bengals, led by QB Ryan Finley are an easy fade for me this week with a low projected point total.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Oakland, Projected Total: 29.75 points

RB Josh Jacobs is my favourite dollar for dollar option at RB this week.  The only downside to rostering him in my books is that he will be highly owned.  But he should smash this week against a Bengals front seven that has given up the 3rd most points to opposing fantasy RB’s on DK this season.

QB Derek Carr is in a great spot as well – and is a strong mid-priced option at QB for a team projected to just finish shy of 30 points on Sunday.  He’s an outstanding play.

WR Hunter Renfrow, priced at only $4k on DK is a great value option on that site.  He’s a little pricey for my liking on FD at $5,700 in a half point PPR – but on DK, he’s an elite option.  He has seen 17 targets over the past three weeks, scored in two of the past three games, and I think he will continue to be heavily involved in the passing attack for Carr and the Raiders.  WR Tyrell Williams has struggled, but if you think he can get loose – he could crush value.

TE Darren Waller will likely be low owned this week after a few quiet weeks.  The Bengals are in the middle of the pack at defending TE’s, but were just ripped up by Mark Andrews in Week 10 for two scores.  Waller is priced up compared to some value options at the position – but has likely the highest ceiling on the slate at the position and doesn’t break the bank, despite his relatively higher price point.

The Raiders DST played great against the Chargers last week, and I like them to build on that this Sunday against Finley.  They’re a great option.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Derek Carr
  • RB Josh Jacobs
  • WR Hunter Renfrow (DK)
  • TE Darren Waller
  • Raiders DST

Good Plays

  • None

New England (-4) @ Philadelphia, Total: 44.5

New England, Projected points: 24.25 points

The Pats are road favourites this week, fresh off of their bye week – and I don’t like too many of the Pats options from a DFS standpoint this week.  The Eagles have been great against RB’s this season, putting me off of the RB’s here.  WR Julien Edelman is too expensive.  Brady lacks the ceiling of many options on this slate.  Carson Wentz won’t turn the ball over as much as Ryan Finley likely will, etc, etc.

With that said, WR Mohamed Sanu is a great option on DK at $5,100.  Sure, he won’t see 14 targets due to game flow again – but it is clear he is the other target for Brady in the passing attack out wide.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • WR Mohamed Sanu (DK)
  • Pats DST

Philadelphia, Projected: 20.25 points

The Eagles will be without WR Alshon Jeffery in this one – putting Wentz and company in a tough spot.  TE Zach Ertz should be the focal point of the coverage for the Pats, leaving two players worth considering here for me:

  • RB Miles Sanders – with RB Jordan Howard yet to be cleared for contact, this could be the week where we see the rookie 2nd rounder from Penn State unleashed.  Of course, the match-up is brutal – but the price point is outstanding on DK at $4,100 – and I would expect a lot of his usage to come in the passing game.  It’s risky, but he’s on The Cruncher List for me this week if Howard is ruled out (and if he does play, I would still use Sanders in 7-10% of GPP builds).
  • TE Dallas Goedert could see an increase in looks in this one, making him worth including at his price as a contrarian option despite the tough match-up.  He’s an elite athlete – and while the range of outcomes is quite wide, I like the potential upside to rostering him if the game shapes out how I think it may…

Cruncher List

  • RB Miles Sanders (DK)

Good Plays

  • RB Miles Sanders (FD)
  • TE Dallas Goedert

Best of luck in your Week 11 DFS action!  If you have any questions at all, please feel free to find me @bradsgotmoxy!

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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