Week 11 NFL DFS Wide Receiver (WR) Targets For FanDuel & DraftKings

Welcome to the FC Insights Wide Receiver Targets Article. In this post, we will be breaking down our top options and plays at the WR position for each DFS week of the 2019-2020 NFL DFS season.

In this article, I am going to give you the top ten wide receivers in my personal model which uses a number of factors like Vegas total, match-up, salary, etc. Please note that just because a player is not in this article doesn’t mean that I don’t like them or that they are not in my player pool.

Last Weeks Results

Based off of DraftKings scoring

  1. Chris Godwin (13.40 fantasy points, 1.8x value, WR18)
  2. Davante Adams (21.80 fantasy points, 3.2x value, WR8)
  3. Christian Kirk (40.80 fantasy points, 7.8x value, WR1)
  4. Marquise Brown (18.00 fantasy points, 3.7x value, WR11)
  5. Zach Pascal (4.60 fantasy points, 0.9x value, WR44)
  6. DeVante Parker (11.90 fantasy points, 2.5x value, WR23)
  7. Golden Tate (24.50 fantasy points, 4.2x value, WR6)
  8. A.J. Brown (2.70 fantasy points, 0.6x value, WR54)
  9. Michael Thomas (31.20 fantasy points, 3.8x value, WR4)
  10. Josh Reynolds (7.90 fantasy points, 2.1x value, WR32)

Michael Thomas ($9,000 FD, $9,900 DK)

Thomas is priced up a significant amount this week, and I still think he’s an excellent play, even at the increased price point, which will help keep his ownership levels from astronomical levels, going up against the dismal Bucs’ secondary.  The Bucs have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing WR’s by a wide margin, and I think that Thomas has a big Week 11.  Way to go out on a limb Brad….I know.

D.J. Moore ($6,000 FD, $5,900 DK)

Moore has had a great season for the Panthers, and is due for some regression to the mean in terms of touchdowns.  He’ll find the end-zone one of these weeks, and I wouldn’t be one bit surprised if it happened this week in a great match-up against the Falcons, who have allowed the seventh most fantasy points per game to WR’s on the season.  Look for Moore to continue to see plenty of targets from Kyle Allen from the slot (he has 48 targets in the past 5 games).

D.J. Chark ($6,000 FD, $6,200 DK)

The price point on Chark is a steal, and while the match-up isn’t ideal – Chark does have the ability to physically out-match most corners in the league.  The consistent target volume is there, Chark has seen at least 7 targets in five of his past six games, and I expect Nick Foles to look Chark’s way early and often in his return under center.  He’s a great value play that may be lower owned than he should be based on the fact that the match-up against the Colts secondary is not a ‘great’ one…but the price point and upside is.

Deebo Samuel ($5,600 FD, $4,000 DK)

Assuming Emmanuel Sanders is out, look for Jimmy Garoppolo to continue to look to Samuel, much like he did in Monday night’s game that saw Samuel post a 8-112 line on 11 targets.  He has great run after the catch ability – and with the lack of consistency from other WR options for the 49ers, I expect Samuel to be heavily involved yet again this week going up against the Cardinals, who have allowed the most fantasy points per game to opposing QB’s, and at his price point, especially on DK – he’s an outstanding value play this week.

Mohamed Sanu ($5,800 FD, $5,100 DK)

Sanu saw 14 targets in the Patriots loss to the Ravens before their bye week, and while I don’t expect him to approach that number again – I think it is clear that he will be a key cog in the Patriots passing game.  He’s $2,500 cheaper than Julian Edelman on DK ($1,500 on FD), and I wouldn’t be surprised to see them have roughly the same amount of targets moving forward as the Patriots look to add a second cog to their passing attack.

Julio Jones ($7,800 FD, $7,500 DK)

Julio has been pretty quiet of late after a great start to the season, and is in a prime get-right spot this week against the Panthers secondary that is in the middle of the pack at defending WR’s.  The target volume for Julio is outstanding; he has seen at least 7 targets in every game this season, and has seen at least 9 targets in the past four weeks.  Look for QB Matt Ryan to look his way plenty in this one, and I think he has a good chance of finding the endzone this week for the first time in six weeks.

Hunter Renfrow ($5,700 FD, $4,000 DK)

I don’t like the price point here on FD, he’s a little bit expensive, but I do think from an absolute standpoint he will put up points, going up against the Bengals.  He has seen 12 targets over the past two games, and has really been earning the trust of QB Derek Carr.  He’s one of my favourite plays on the board this week on DK at his price point as I expect him to continue to be involved heavily in the passing game for Carr and the Raiders.

John Brown ($5,900 FD, $6,400 DK)

Brown has been one of the most consistent WR’s in the game this year, clearing the 50 yard mark every single week of the 2019 campaign.  He gets a match-up against the Dolphins secondary that has been playing better, but is still vulnerable due to a general lack of talent.  The target volume has been great for Brown, and he has shown the ability over the past number of years that he can beat DB’s deep – we just have to have QB Josh Allen be able to hit him in stride, and he could have a monster day.  He’s has a great floor, and a high ceiling this week.

Terry McLaurin ($5,500 FD, $5,600 DK)

I have extreme concerns about Haskins’ ability to complete passes, but the price point on McLaurin is outstanding in this match-up.  The Jets have allowed the second most fantasy points to the WR position this week, and based on that – I expect McLaurin to be quite popular.  He’s an interesting option to flat out fade due to the inpetness that we have seen from Haskins, but I felt it was important to include him in the write-up as there is a lot of compelling data supporting him as a strong play.

Mike Evans ($8,200 FD, $7,400 DK)

In a game that should be high scoring, look for Mike Evans to produce for the Bucs.  CB Marshon Lattimore is banged up, and missed practice on Thursday, leaving a real possibility that he will not be able to suit up for the Saints this weekend, putting Evans in a prime spot for a massive day.  He’s expensive, but I like his chances of being one of the best WR’s on the slate.  He has four games this season where he has seen 12+ targets, and in a game where I expect the Bucs to be playing from behind, I think he makes it a fifth time this weekend.

 

 

 

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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