Week 11 NFL DFS Running Backs (RB) Targets For FanDuel & DraftKings

Welcome to the FC Insights Running Back Targets Article. In this post, we will be breaking down our top options and plays at the RB position for each DFS week of the 2019-2020 NFL DFS season.

In this article, I am going to give you the top eight running backs in my personal model which uses a number of factors like Vegas total, match-up, salary, etc. Please note that just because a player is not in this article doesn’t mean that I don’t like them or that they are not in my player pool.

Last Weeks Results

Based off of DraftKings scoring

  1. Derrick Henry (36.10 fantasy points, 5.6x value, RB1)
  2. Saquon Barkley (8.10 fantasy points, 0.9x value, RB18)
  3. Marlon Mack (9.20 fantasy points, 1.3x value, RB15)
  4. Christian McCaffrey (29.10 fantasy points, 4.1x value, RB2)
  5. David Montgomery (6.00 fantasy points, 1.1x value, RB24)
  6. Devin Singletary (8.00 fantasy points, 1.6x value, RB19)
  7. Aaron Jones (27.30 fantasy points, 3.7x value, RB3)
  8. Damien Williams (14.90 fantasy points, 3.0x value, RB8)
  9. Ronald Jones (23.60 fantasy points, 5.5x value, RB4)

Josh Jacobs ($8,000 FD, $6,900 DK)

My favourite dollar for dollar play at the position, I think that Jacobs is primed for a big game as the Raiders go up against the Bengals, who have given up the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing RB’s.  The rookie from Alabama has been on a nice stretch of games, clearing 19 DKP in 4 of his past 5.  Look for him to approach 20 touches, and I like his chances of finding the endzone against the woeful Bengals at least once, with the upside for more.

Dalvin Cook ($8,600 FD, $8,900 DK)

With a remarkably high floor, it’s hard to go wrong with Cook.  The match-up isn’t the best one on the board, as Denver has made great strides at defending the run, but without WR Adam Thielen this week, I expect Cook to be heavily used in both phases of the game – and it wouldn’t shock me to see him have one of the highest end totals when all is said than done.  He’s the closest thing to McCaffrey available, and you can save $1,600 on DK by going with Cook over him, which can go a long way for upgrades elsewhere.  I think he’s a great option this week.

Brian Hill ($5,900 FD, $4,800 DK)

With Devonte Freeman out, Hill should play a 3-down role for the Falcons this week, getting a prime opportunity to show the league what he’s got.  The Panthers have struggled at defending RB’s all season long, giving up the 5th most DKPPG to the position, putting Hill in a prime spot for success.  The price point is great, and it wouldn’t shock me to see him post one of the highest ROI’s at the position this week.  He’s an excellent option.

 

J.D. McKissic ($5,800 FD, $4,600 DK)

With Ty Johnson concussed last week, McKissic took the bulk of the snaps in the backfield for the Lions, and with Johnson being a limited participant in practice on Thursday, I wouldn’t expect him to see the bulk of the carries, even if he is deemed healthy enough to play.  I prefer McKissic on DK because of the scoring format – but he should be in line for heavy usage, especially in the passing game as the Lions go up against the Cowboys, who have given up the 5th most receiving yards to RB’s on the season.  He’s a sneaky option this week.

Devin Singletary ($6,500 FD, $6,000 DK)

Singletary disappointed a week ago, but is primed for a bounce-back game going up against the Dolphins, who have struggled to defend the run this season, giving up the 6th most PPG according to DK scoring.  I like the game script for Singletary, and while Frank Gore will cut into Singletary’s touches still, I do think that the rookie back gets 15+, and I like his chances of finding the end-zone in this one.

Christian McCaffrey ($10,500 FD, $10,500 DK)

The price point limits your spends at other positions, but if you like a lot of value plays on the board, it is hard to argue with the #1 fantasy RB by a rather wide margin this season.  He’ll need to crush it to hit value at this price, but it wouldn’t shock me if he is able to break free against Atlanta this week a few times for some chunk plays.  There’s always risk to a fade, and I wouldn’t blame anyone that finds his salary too limiting – however, with some attractive value plays on the board, I wouldn’t be shocked if you see him in the Milly winner this weekend.

Kenyan Drake ($6,300 FD, $5,400 DK)

I’m banking on Drake getting the bulk of the snaps for the Cards this week as they go up against the tough 49ers front.  The match-up looks awful on paper, but Drake was able to roast the Niners for 32.1 DKP a couple weeks ago on TNF – and I wouldn’t be shocked to see him with more than the 19 touches he saw that night.  There is risk here, but I like the risk/reward trade-off to rostering Drake with some exposure for your entries this week.

Raheem Mostert ($4,600 FD, $3,400 DK)

Mostert has been limited all week with a lingering knee issue, but all reports seem to indicate that Matt Breida is unlikely to suit up this week, which could put Mostert in line to be the 1-B in the backfield for the 49ers this week.  They should be playing up in a game against the Cardinals, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see Mostert approach 15 touches in this one.  His per touch numbers on the season are outstanding, and it wouldn’t shock me to see him crush value if he sees significant touches, which very well could happen this Sunday.  At this price point, he’s an excellent punt with upside, but make sure you pay close attention to his status for this weekend.

Miles Sanders ($5,600 FD; $4,100 DK)

I wouldn’t be surprised to see Sanders see an up-tick in volume this week, with Jordan Howard still not cleared for contact with a stinger, 48 hours before the Eagles and Patriots square off.  I do prefer him on DK compared to FD because of the full PPR, however – I do think he’s a viable punt with upside this week, despite the tough match-up.  He has been heavily involved in the passing game, and I expect him to be a key cog in the Eagles game-plan this week.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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