Welcome to the FC Insights Wide Receiver Targets Article. In this post, we will be breaking down our top options and plays at the WR position for each DFS week of the 2019-2020 NFL DFS season.
In this article, I am going to give you the top ten wide receivers in my personal model which uses a number of factors like Vegas total, match-up, salary, etc. Please note that just because a player is not in this article doesn’t mean that I don’t like them or that they are not in my player pool.
Last Weeks Results
Based off of DraftKings scoring
- Kenny Golladay (26.20 fantasy points, 3.4x value, WR6)
- Allen Robinson (1.60 fantasy points, 0.2x value, WR58)
- Tyler Lockett (43.20 fantasy points, 1.8x value, WR33)
- Tyrell Williams (32.30 fantasy points, 5.8x value, WR1)
- Sammy Watkins (13.30 fantasy points, 2.7x value, WR19)
- Cole Beasley (9.300 fantasy points, 2.3x value, WR30)
- A.J. Brown (12.10 fantasy points, 2.8x value, WR22)
- Chris Godwin (13.90 fantasy points, 1.9x value, WR18)
- Juju Smith-Schuster (4.60 fantasy points, 0.7x value, WR46)
- Odell Beckham Jr. (13.20 fantasy points, 2.0x value, WR20)
Chris Godwin ($8,200 FD, $7,400 DK)
The match-up is a great one for Godwin this week, going up against a Cardinals secondary devoid of much talent outside of CB Patrick Peterson, who I expect to be on WR Mike Evans for the vast majority of Sunday’s match-up. Godwin, who has been quiet in the last two games compared to his early season production is in a great spot this week, and I wouldn’t be shocked to see him at, or near the top of all options at the position this week in what should be a high scoring game with a projected Vegas total of 52 points.
Davante Adams ($7,800 FD, $6,900 DK)
Adams posted a pedestrian 7-41 line in his return after a four week absence – but one thing to note was that the volume was there, with Adams seeing 11 targets that afternoon. The Packers are projected for just under 26 points in this one – and I expect Adams to be a focal point in the Packers attack, yet again this week in what should be a great bounce-back spot for the entire offence. The Panthers have allowed the 7th most yards per game through the air to opposing WR’s, and while they have done a good job at keeping them out of the end-zone, Adams is an imposing force in the red-zone, and should see plenty of opportunity this week.
Christian Kirk ($5,700 FD, $5,200 DK)
While the air yards may be less than ideal, it’s hard to argue the intrigue at rostering a player tied for 8th in the NFL in targets per game going up against the Bucs secondary – who rival only the Raiders at defending WR’s this season. He is dirt cheap on both sites, and I like his chances of smashing value this week as a great source of salary relief.
Marquise Brown ($5,300 FD, $5,100 DK)
I prefer Brown on FD relative to DK, as I don’t see it likely that he will rack up the receptions in the full PPR format – but either way, he intrigues me a lot this week. It’s largely due to his game-breaking talent in a great match-up vs. statistical support from recent form – but I wouldn’t be shocked to see him get loose against a dismal Bengals secondary a couple times this week. If Jackson can connect with him, he could be a low owned line-up differentiator this week, but keep in mind there is risk here and he has one of the more wide range of potential outcomes for players mentioned on the Week 10 WR list.
Zach Pascal ($6,400 FD, $5,300 DK)
The Dolphins defence did a good job against the Jets a week ago, but given that the Jets offence looks completely broken, I think Pascal is a great option against the Xavien Howard-less Dolphins secondary. With TY Hilton and Parris Campbell out this week, Pascal should be the focal point of the passing attack for the Colts, and I expect him to clear 8 targets in this one. There is some game flow risk here if the Colts get up big early – but either way, I think he’s a rock solid option with a high floor and ceiling this week in this match-up.
DeVante Parker ($5,800 FD, $4,800 DK)
Parker has been churning out solid efforts for the Dolphins, earning the distinction of being one of the few bright spots for them this season. He has scored a TD in 4 of the past 5 games, and I expect him to get a bump in targets with WR Preston Williams tearing his ACL a week ago. The price point is fantastic, and with the Dolphins having a high probability of having to turn to the air while playing from behind in Indy, I like his chances of having a great ROI for Week 10.
Golden Tate ($6,300 FD, $5,900 DK)
With Evan Engram ruled out for the week and WR Sterling Shepard still in concussion protocol, the options at Daniel Jones’ disposal include Tate, Saquon and Darrius Slayton. Sure, Cody Latimer found the end-zone a week ago, but with Engram out, I expect an up-tick in volume for his safety valve, Tate – who should be great this week against a Jets secondary that just got roasted by Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Dolphins. He’s a fantastic safe play this week.
A.J. Brown ($5,500 FD, $4,300 DK)
Assuming Patrick Mahomes is back, the Chiefs will put up points in bulk – and with that, you have to love the game script for the Titans passing attack. A.J. Brown doesn’t quite see the snap % that I like, but it’s hard to argue with his game-breaking ability. He has seen 7+ targets in two of Ryan Tannehill’s three starts, with Tannehill showing that he clearly believes in getting the ball to the talented rookie. If they are playing from behind, expect another 7+ target game, with the potential for a slate-breaking ROI if he can break a couple of plays….but there is some risk here.
Michael Thomas ($8,700 FD, $8,300 DK)
The safest WR in football, going up against the Falcons? He is safely in the fade at your own risk category for this week. He has seen 7+ targets in every game this year, and has seen 9 or more in all but one contest. Expect more of the same from him this week in a game where the Saints should light up the scoreboard.
Josh Reynolds ($5,200 FD, $3,800 DK)
There is risk here, and a match-up with the Steelers secondary is not ideal. With that said, Reynolds should slot into the Rams base 3 WR set, and saw 8 targets last game with Cooks sidelined, hauling in 3 balls for 73 yards and a score. He has shown the ability to be fantasy relevant over time whenever any of the big 3 WR’s have been sidelined for the Rams – and with Cooks out, he has a shot to see significant snaps yet again.