Welcome to the FC Insights Running Back Targets Article. In this post, we will be breaking down our top options and plays at the RB position for each DFS week of the 2019-2020 NFL DFS season.
In this article, I am going to give you the top eight running backs in my personal model which uses a number of factors like Vegas total, match-up, salary, etc. Please note that just because a player is not in this article doesn’t mean that I don’t like them or that they are not in my player pool.
Last Weeks Results
Based off of DraftKings scoring
- Adrian Peterson (18.60 fantasy points, 4.1x value, RB7)
- Chase Edmonds (14.70 fantasy points, 3.2x value, RB12)
- Mark Ingram (15.40 fantasy points, 2.3x value, RB11)
- Devonta Freeman (26.80 fantasy points, 4.6x value, RB5)
- Le’Veon Bell (12.30 fantasy points, 1.9x value, RB20)
- Derrick Henry (4.30 fantasy points, 5.8x value, RB34)
- Ezekiel Elliott (29.20 fantasy points, 0.7x value, RB2)
- Leonard Fournette (17.80 fantasy points, 2.7x value, RB9)
Leonard Fournette ($7,900 FD, $7,000 DK)
The Jaguars offense has run through Fournette this season, especially over the past three weeks. Fournette has at least 26 touches in each of those games and is averaging 166.67 total yards during this stretch. Fournette has at least 17 fantasy points in each of those three games and has not produced below 12 fantasy points in each of his six games this season. Fournette is not just producing at an elite level right now but he is in the best possible match-up for running backs this week against the Bengals. This season the Bengals are allowing the most rushing yards per game, most rushing yards per attempt, have allowed the most rushing touchdowns and are allowing the most fantasy points per game to the position.
Tevin Coleman ($6,200 FD, $5,600 DK)
Coleman returned to the 49ers lineup two weeks ago and has been solid. In those two games, Coleman has at least 16 carries, has gotten most if not all of the touches inside the five-yard line, has at least 60 total yards, has scored in each game and has produced at least 14 fantasy points in each game. This week I am expecting a similar if not bigger performance from Coleman as he takes on the Redskins. The Redskins are allowing the fifth-most rushing yards per game and fifth-most fantasy points per game to running backs. The game script should also favor Coleman as the 49ers are huge 9.5 point road favorites this week.
Josh Jacobs ($6,700 FD, $5,000 DK)
Jacobs is an elite value in my eyes this week for two reasons. The first is the way he has played. Jacobs has been excellent in his rookie season with at least 99 total yards in four of his five games. The second is the match-up with the Packers. The Packers are allowing the tenth-most rushing yards per game, have allowed at least one rushing touchdown each of the past five weeks, and have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game to running backs.
Dalvin Cook ($8,300 FD, $8,000 DK)
Cook had what I felt was an expected bad game against the tough Eagles run defense last week but still was able to have a serviceable day thanks to a touchdown. That touchdown was Cook’s sixth-touchdown of the year which is fourth-most in the NFL. This week I not only like Cook to find the endzone again but I also like him to go back to running for 100 plus yards as the match-up with the Lions is a positive one. This season the Lions are allowing the fifth-most rushing yards per attempt at 5.1, the sixth-most rushing yards per game at 133.8, and have allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to the position.
David Johnson ($7,400 FD, $7,800 DK)
I was worried about Johnson and his back injury last week and removed him from my player pool. That was a big mistake as Johnson had his normal game. Johnson had 20 total touches for 102 total yards and two touchdowns on his way to 28.2 fantasy points. That game was the third straight game that Johnson had over 100 total yard and the fourth straight game that Johnson produced at least 18 fantasy points. This week I have no doubt in my mind that Johnson extends both streaks as he takes on the Giants. The Giants are allowing the ninth-most rushing yards per game, third-most receiving yards per game to running backs, and 27.3 fantasy points per game to the position which is ninth-most in the NFL.
Frank Gore ($6,000 FD, $5,200 DK)
Devin Singletary should be back for the Bills this week which does affect Gore’s value but even with Singletary back I still think Gore is a great value due to his match-up against the Dolphins. The Dolphins are allowing the second-most rushing yards per game, have allowed four 100 yard rushers, and are allowing the second-most fantasy points per game to the position. The Bills should also be running the ball a lot in this game as they are huge 16.5 home favorites.
Saquon Barkley ($8,600 FD, $8,900 DK)
Barkley is expected back this week for the Giants and if I knew for a fact that the Giants were going to give him his normal workload he would be my number one back as he takes on the Cardinals. The Cardinals have allowed the sixth-most rushing yards per game this season and have allowed at least 30 yards receiving to running backs in each of the past five games. The issue is that we really don’t know how many plays that we are going to see from Barkley this week and that makes him a tough player to roster as the most expensive running back on this slate. With that being said I am still going to have my fair share of Barkley as he is still the best running back in the NFL (yes even over Christian McCaffrey)
Jamaal Williams ($5,400 FD, $4,900 DK)
No matter how much Aaron Jones season-long owners like myself like it Williams is going to be a part of this Packers offense. The Packers have made that clear in each of the weeks he has been healthy. This week I especially think that is going to be the case as he outplayed Jones on Monday night. While Jones was fumbling the ball and dropping touchdown passes, Williams racked up 136 total yards on 18 touches and a score. Williams produced 26.6 fantasy points in that game to Jones nine and now has at least double-digit fantasy points in each of his past three games he played start to finish. This week I don’t see why Williams won’t produce double-digit fantasy points once again and if you are looking for a super cheap running back on FanDuel, Williams is the man I would use. On DraftKings, however, I don’t see myself having many shares of Williams when Josh Jacobs who I talked about earlier is just $100 more in salary.