The Cruncher List for Week 6: FanDuel & DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Advice & Picks | Game-By-Game Analysis

The Cruncher List | Week 6 FanDuel & DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Advice, Tips & Picks.

Here to help you build the best possible FanDuel & DraftKings NFL Week 6 Line-up

If you are new to the Cruncher List – thank you for reading our game by game breakdown of the Main Slate of action for the season’s first Main Slate! If you are returning, you know the drill.

I will be breaking down each of the upcoming NFL games, providing my thoughts on who makes for good cash game plays on FanDuel and DraftKings.

I will note good picks for the week, and the options I feel are the best of the best… the guys who make The Cruncher List.  

I will be updating this piece throughout the week – so please check back for updates as they become available!

Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens (-10), Total: 48

Cincinnati Bengals – Projected total: 19

The Bengals draw a tough match-up this week – travelling on the road to Baltimore to take on the Ravens.  The Ravens haven’t been as good so far in 2019 on defence as they have been historically – but with that said, the banged up Bengals don’t possess a whole heck of a lot of upside in this match-up.

Based on volume, I wouldn’t argue too much if you wanted to lock in the likes of RB Joe Mixon or WR Tyler Boyd – but neither of them make The Cruncher List for Week 6.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • WR Tyler Boyd

Baltimore Ravens – Projected total: 29

The Ravens have one of the higher projected totals for the week, playing at home against the winless Bengals.  Starting on the ground, the Bengals rank 25th in the league at defending the run according to PFF, putting RB Mark Ingram in a great spot for success in a game with a positive game script.  Look for him to have 15-20 touches, and I like his chances of finding the end-zone at least once in this one.  RB Gus Edwards is a sneaky deep contrarian option.  We’ve seen him get significant run in games where the Ravens get up big, and although he is far from a safe play – he could see double digit touches in a great game script – and he will have miniscule ownership levels.

As for the passing game, QB Lamar Jackson is one of – if not the best play on the board at QB this week in a great match-up.  The dual threat option is expensive, but it’s hard to argue both his floor and ceiling in this match-up.  WR Marquise Brown, assuming he suits up is a strong option, as is TE Mark Andrews, who I expect to ramp things up after a slow couple of weeks.

The Ravens DST, while not my favourite optionon the board, is viable.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Lamar Jackson
  • RB Mark Ingram

Good Plays

  • RB Gus Edwards (deep, contrarian)
  • WR Marquise Brown
  • TE Mark Andrews

Seattle Seahawks (-1) @ Cleveland Browns, Projected total: 46.5

Seattle Seahawks – Projected Total: 23.75 points

The Hawks were impressive in Week 5, beating the Rams in a close game at home.  This week, they travel to Cleveland to take on the struggling Browns.

QB Russell Wilson remains a very strong option.  I wish he was given more volume in the passing game, with Seattle’s affinity for running the ball, there is always the chance that we could see Wilson attempt less than 20 passes in any given game – but this one should be competitive.  I do like Seattle to win this one, and I think Wilson has a solid day and continues his remarkable efficiency under center for the Hawks.

WR Tyler Lockett has been rather quiet each of the past two weeks.  He doesn’t quite make The Cruncher List this week, but I do think he’ll beat a 4-51 line.  TE Will Dissly looks to have earned the trust of Russell Wilson, and is a viable option at the TE position at a price point that doesn’t break the bank in Week 6.  He has at least 50 yards in each of the past four games, while scoring 4 TD’s over that stretch.

RB Chris Carson should continue to be featured as the bell cow back for Seattle.  I didn’t see anything too intriguing out of RB Rashaad Penny in his return last week.  Cleveland ranks 31st on PFF’s team grade against the run – and I expect Seattle to give plenty of work to Carson in this match-up.  He’s a high floor, high ceiling option on the ground.

Seattle’s DST has intrigue for me after how bad Cleveland’s offence has struggled early in the year.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Chris Carson
  • Seattle DST

Good Plays

  • QB Russell Wilson
  • WR Tyler Lockett
  • TE Will Dissly

Cleveland Browns – Projected Total: 22.75

The Browns have been dismal on offence, and outside of RB Nick Chubb, we have yet to see them put up big numbers and reach the expectations that many expected from them for the 2019 season.  Seattle has been tough against the run this week, and I expect them to make the offensive line for the Browns protect Mayfield, and to make Mayfield beat them through the air.

I’ll be fading Cleveland this week.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

New Orleans Saints @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-1), Projected Total: 43.5

New Orleans Saints, Projected Total: 21.25

Will update when there is more clarity on RB Alvin Kamara.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • Pats DST

Jacksonville Jaguars, Projected Total: 22.25

The Jaguars are playing at home this week against the Saints, and are small home favourites.  QB Gardiner Minshew has played to a high floor through his four starts, and priced where he is – especially on DK at $5,000 – there’s a lot to like about rostering him in order to spend up elsewhere.  He makes The Cruncher List this week as a value option under center.

RB Leonard Fournette continues to churn out yards at a great clip.  He has been used both on the ground and in the passing game, which has helped raise his floor given his bell-cow RB usage.  Look for him to be leaned on heavily in a game that should be closely contested.  He continues to be reasonably priced, and he too, is on The Cruncher List.

Through the air, I expect CB Marshon Lattimore to be looking after WR D.J. Chark – and after what he did to Mike Evans a week ago, I have no problem fading Chark – even though you have a shot to get him reasonably owned.  Instead, I expect WR Dede Westbrook to be leaned on heavily by Minshew.  Dede and Minshew have shown a growing rapport in recent weeks, with Minshew targeting Westbrook 26 times in the past three weeks.  Priced affordably, he makes The Cruncher List on DK, while just narrowly misses it on FD.

The Jags DST, playing at home – have the potential for a big day.  In their last home game they picked up 9 sacks.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Gardiner Minshew
  • RB Leonard Fournette
  • WR Dede Westbrook (DK)

Good Plays

  • WR Dede Westbrook (FD)
  • Jags DST

Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs (-4), Projected Total: 55

Houston Texans, Projected Total: 25.5 points

This game has all sorts of potential – and to put it bluntly, your approach to how to attack this game will likely be the biggest decision you have to make for the Main Slate this week…one way or the other.

QB Deshaun Watson had a great Week 5, and I expect him to roll that over this week against a Chiefs defence that can be vulnerable against the pass.  He’s an amazing option this week if you want to spend up on QB…but I do think he will be popular with the masses.

WR Will Fuller blew up..finally…and he did so the one week he was chalk.  He’ll be popular again this week, and while he’s a very strong value, I like a game theory fade on him this week – instead, opting to pay up for WR Deandre Hopkins – who I think will have a very productive showing in Week 6.  He’s one of the best WR’s in the game, and in a game that should be a shoot-out, I think he gets leaned on heavily by Watson.

RB Carlos Hyde should see plenty of work if the game remains close, or if the Texans are playing ahead.  He’s hated by the analytics community, and for good reason – but you can’t argue the fact that he will likely see enough work to be potentially relevant.  With that said, he’s not on The Cruncher List.

RB Duke Johnson is the polar opposite of Hyde.  He will see moderate work unless the Texans are playing catch-up, and he is loved by the analytics community – also for good reason.  He will not likely see enough work to be relevnt unless the Texans fall way behind, in which case he could be very relevant.  I’ll be off of him this week.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Deshaun Watson
  • WR Deandre Hopkins

Good Plays

  • RB Carlos Hyde
  • WR Will Fuller

Kansas City Chiefs, Projected Total: 29.5 points

The Chiefs have the highest projected total on the board this week – one week after a disappointing showing on SNF against the Colts.  Assuming that QB Patrick Mahomes’ ankle is ok – look for a strong bounce-back from this group.  I’ll update the Chiefs passing recommendations when we get more clarity about the status of WR Tyreke Hill.

Regardless of Hill’s status, TE Travis Kelce and RB Damien Williams are elite plays in my mind.  Sure, you don’t ‘have’ to spend up for Kelce at TE with some of the options on the board, but – you have a shot to get him at what should be low-moderate ownership levels, and it’s only a matter of time before he has a multi-score game.  As for Williams, I was very surprised to see his usage back from injury.  My concern with Williams was that if he got hurt, upon his return he would not be given any leash and end up in a complete committee.  While that may eventually happen, it did not appear to be the case in Week 5, with Williams seeing the vast majority of the snaps compared with Shady and Darrel Williams.  The Chiefs have to open up some holes, but Williams could be in a blow-up spot this week and is very reasonably priced.  When you factor in his likely low ownership levels, there’s a to like here.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Damien Williams
  • TE Travis Kelce

Good Plays

  • QB Patrick Mahomes

Washington (-3) @ Miami Dolphins, Projected Total: 42

Washington, Projected Total: 22.5 points

Washington has said that they will be running the ball more now under Callahan, setting up Adrian Peterson for what should be an extensive workload against the Dolphins in a game where Washington are small road favourites.  At the price it costs to roster Peterson, it’s hard to argue the value here against the league’s worst run defence through the first five weeks of the season.  He is pretty TD dependant, and I think that there is an interesting opportunity for a game theory fade here, something that I will be doing this week.  With that said – I can’t argue the rationale for those that load up on him this week.

For the passing game, QB Case Keenum will get the start and is an interesting punt with upside and pivot off of the likely higher owned Gardiner Minshew this week.  Miami’s secondary has been dismal outside of Xavian Howard – and even he has not been his usual self given the lack of any sort of pass rush from the Dolphins edge rushers.  Look for Keenum to target Terry McLaurin often in this one.  Both of that pair are viable value plays this week.

The Cruncher List

  • WR Terry McLaurin (edited with Xavian Howard likely out)

Good Plays

  • QB Case Keenum
  • RB Adrian Peterson

Miami Dolphins, Projected Total: 19.5 points

Miami is a fade for me.  The only one worth considering in this one – and it’s a long-shot is WR Preston Williams for $4,100 on DK.  He has seen 19 targets over the past two games since Josh Rosen was named the starter.  Williams could have a nice day against a poor secondary.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • WR Preston Williams

Philadelphia Eagles @ Minnesota Vikings (-3), Projected Total: 44

Philadelphia Eagles, Projected total: 20.5 points

The Eagles are a fade for me this week, travelling to Minnesota to take on the Vikings and their defence.  There will be plenty of weeks that I like the Eagles for DFS, this just isn’t one of them.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Minnesota Vikings, Projected Total: 23.5 points

The Vikings love to run the ball.  The Eagles are the best team in 2019 at stopping the run, so something has to give.  With that said, I’ll put my chips on the Eagles keeping Cook from going off in this one.

As for the passing attack, WR Adam Thielen hauled in 7 of 8 targets for 130 yards and 2 scores a week ago after publicly calling out the Vikings passing attack.  The Eagles have been stout against the run this season – but they have struggled a great deal at defending the pass, putting Thielen in a nice spot for another strong outing.  While he isn’t cheap, he doesn’t break the bank, and he’s an excellent option this week.

QB Kirk Cousins and WR Stefon Diggs are secondary plays to me.  Diggs will break out…at some point…but I have no problem fading him until he does.  As for Cousins, as much as the Vikings may be forced to pass in this one to move the ball effectively, it is clear that Minnesota wants to be a run first team – and I just don’t see Cousins putting up the type of line that is going to win anyone a week on either site at the moment.

The Cruncher List

  • WR Adam Thielen

Good Plays

  • QB Kirk Cousins
  • WR Stefon Diggs

Atlanta Falcons (-2) @ Arizona Cardinals, Projected Total: 51.5

Atlanta Falcons, Projected Total: 26.75 points

This game should be a shoot-out – featuring two of the bottom 5 defences in the league and the league’s fastest paced team.  I like the game to go over the total – and there are no shortage of great options in this one to choose from.

QB Matt Ryan should feast – and I think that he will look the way of WR Julio Jones and TE Austin Hooper plenty.  The Cards have been the league’s worst team at defending the TE position, and Hooper in particular is a rock solid play this week.  I don’t envision the Cards being able to stop WR Julio Jones either, they simply do not have anyone that can defend him – and while I think they may double Juilo early and often – I still think he has a big day.

WR Calvin Ridley is a secondary option this week, he has a much lower floor than Julio, but has a high ceiling as well – making him an intriguing contrarian option for an ATL player in the passing attack this week.

I’m going to continue to fade the ATL running game until it backfires on me.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Matt Ryan
  • WR Julio Jones
  • TE Austin Hooper

Good Plays

  • WR Calvin Ridley

Arizona Cardinals, Projected Total: 24.75 points

It is looking like RB David Johnson will be active, while WR Christian Kirk will likely be out for this contest.  With that in mind, Johnson is in as good of a spot as you can be in what should be a high scoring game against a team that struggles to defend.  I wouldn’t be surprised to see a cap on his snaps this week with more run being given to RB Chase Edmonds, which is enough to have me keep him off of The Cruncher List for Week 6.  Edmonds is an intriguing value play with immense upside in case Johnson happens to see far less snaps than anticipated.

With Kirk out, I think Larry Fitzgerald is an elite option who should get plenty of looks for the fast paced Cards attack.  I expect him to see double digit targets for the Cards in this one.  The rest of the passing attack has intrigue as far as the weapons go – however, I won’t be using significant amounts of K.Johnson, D.Byrd – or any other target.  Johnson led Cards WR’s in snaps by a wide margin, so he has the most appeal to me after Fitz as far as WR’s go.

QB Kyler Murray is an elite option this week.  We’ve seen a big uptick in his scrambling over the past three weeks, and I think we’ll start to see some regression to the mean as far as TD passes go, which will be a nice boost to his current TD% of 2.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Kyler Murray
  • WR Larry Fitzgerald

Good Plays

  • None

San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams (-3), Projected Total: 50.5

San Francisco 49ers, Projected Total: 23.75

The 49ers travel south this week to take on the Rams, in a key divisional game for the Rams if they are going to make a run at the division title this year.  The 49ers have looked great with their rushing attack and defence, while their passing game continues to spread the ball around.  Outside of TE George Kittle, who is an elite option at TE – I don’t have interest in any of the other passing game options.

The RB is set to be a timeshare between RB Tevin Coleman and RB Matt Breida, limiting the ceiling of both enough to keep them off of The Cruncher List.  With that said, they both are capable of big plays and the 49ers have been the best team at running the ball so far this season.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • RB Tevin Coleman
  • RB Matt Breida
  • TE George Kittle (downgraded due to hip injury)
  • 49ers DST

Los Angeles Rams, Projected Total: 26.75

The Rams look like they will be without RB Todd Gurley this week, who is listed as doubtful.  I expect RB Malcolm Brown to fill the primary RB slot for the offence, and at his price point – he’s an elite option – even if he will be chalky.  RB Darrell Henderson should see his first significant snaps on offence – and I’m happy to take a wait and see approach with him, though he does have some appeal on DK with the full point per reception at a price of $3,200.

QB Jared Goff has a shot at putting up big numbers in this one, especially if the 49ers get out to an early lead.  For what it’s worth, I think there is a strong chance of that happening…enough that I love the spot Goff is in from a fantasy standpoint.  Along those lines, he should continue to look to WR Cooper Kupp often…he’s my favourite high spend at WR this week.  WR Robert Woods is a secondary option, though if Brandin Cooks happens to sit out, I’d bump him up to The Cruncher List as well.

TE Gerald Everett is a suitable punt with upside at the TE position.  He has hauled in 12 of 17 targets over the past two weeks, and looks like he has a chance of living up to his draft pedigree.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Jared Goff
  • RB Malcolm Brown
  • WR Cooper Kupp

Good Plays

  • RB Darrell Henderson (DK)
  • WR Robert Woods
  • TE Gerald Everett

Tennessee Titans @ Denver Broncos (-2), Projected Total: 40.5 points

Tennessee Titans, Projected Total: 19.25

Derrick Henry faces a Broncos defence that has been vulnerable to the run over the course of 5 games so far in 2019.  Henry is a high floor option, and if you recall from teh 2018 campaign – he has as high of a ceiling as any RB in the game.  He has yet to have a breakout game so far in 2019, and it wouldn’t shock me if we see him blow up this week.  He’s priced reasonably and is a great option this week.

I’ll continue to fade the Titans passing attack.

The Titans DST is a solid option this week.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Derrick Henry

Good Plays

  • Titans DST

Denver Broncos, Projected Total: 21.25 points

I’m off of Denver this week, going up against a stout defence.  I think this game will be close, but don’t have a lot of interest for DFS purposes.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Dallas Cowboys (-7) @ New York Jets, Projected Total: 44.5

Dallas Cowboys, Projected Total: 25.25 points

The Cowboys check in as large road favourites, playing a Jets team that finally gets Sam Darnold back.  I expect Dallas to lean heavily on RB Ezekiel Elliott in this game, one that they should be winning early on.  He’s a great option for a high spend this week at RB.

As for the passing game, QB Dak Prescott is an elite option if you have the salary to afford him.  I wouldn’t be shocked if him and WR Amari Cooper were overlooked ownership wise when compared with the options in the HOU/KC and ATL/ARI games.  Both of them are elite options.  WR Michael Gallup is a secondary option at WR.  He looked great in his return to the field from injury – though, I don’t expect nearly the same number of passing attempts from Dak this week.

The Cowboys DST is an elite option as they face Darnold, who I expect to be rusty.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Ezekiel Elliot
  • WR Amari Cooper
  • Cowboys DST

Good Plays

  • QB Dak Prescott
  • WR Michael Gallup

New York Jets, Projected Total: 18.25 points

They won’t be a fade for the whole season…but for at least one more week, I recommend it.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Best of luck in your Week 6 DFS action!  If you have any questions at all, please feel free to find me @bradsgotmoxy!

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

Check Also

Week 7 NFL DFS Quarterbacks (QB) Targets For FanDuel & DraftKings

Welcome to the FC Insights Quarterback Targets Article. In this post, we will be breaking down …