Welcome to the FC Insights Wide Receiver Targets Article. In this post, we will be breaking down our top options and plays at the WR position for each DFS week of the 2019-2020 NFL DFS season.
In this article, I am going to give you the top ten wide receivers in my personal model which uses a number of factors like Vegas total, match-up, salary, etc. Please note that just because a player is not in this article doesn’t mean that I don’t like them or that they are not in my player pool.
Last Weeks Results
Based off of DraftKings scoring
- Auden Tate (11.60 fantasy points, 2.0x value, WR23)
- Michael Thomas (44.20 fantasy points, 6.7x value, WR2)
- Golden Tate (4.30 fantasy points, 0.9x value, WR50)
- Tyler Boyd (31.30 fantasy points, 4.8x value, WR7)
- Julio Jones (7.20 fantasy points, 0.9x value, WR40)
- Larry Fitzgerald (11.80 fantasy points, 2.0x value, WR21)
- Emmanuel Sanders (1.90 fantasy points, 0.4x value, WR66)
- Adam Thielen (35.00 fantasy points, 5.2x value, WR5)
- Mike Evans (0.00 fantasy points, 0.0x value, WR79)
- KeeSean Johnson (5.50 fantasy points, 1.6x value, WR45)
DJ Chark Jr. ($6,500 FD, $5,500 DK)
This season, Chark is averaging 97 receiving yards per game which is sixth-most in the NFL, has five receiving touchdowns which is second-most in the NFL and is averaging 22.3 fantasy points per game which is fourth-most on this slate. Chark is putting up numbers like the elite wide receivers yet is priced in the mid-tier range. I really don’t understand why that is but I am going to take advantage of his salary especially in this match-up against the Saints. The Saints have allowed the fifth-most receiving yards, fifth-most touchdown passes, and seventh-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers this season.
Michael Gallup ($6,100 FD, $5,600 DK)
I know Manny hates Gallup but I personally love Gallup as he has done nothing but put up numbers. Gallup has played three games this season. In those games, he is averaging 6.77 catches for 113 yards and 22 fantasy points. This week we should see Gallup put up huge numbers once again as the Jets suck especially against the pass. This season the Jets have allowed the tenth-most fantasy points per game to the position and the seventh-most fantasy points to receivers split out wide which Gallup is always split out wide. As far as individual match-ups are concerned using the PFF WR/CB match-up chart that we reference often in this article, Gallup has the third-best individual match-up on the slate against Darryl Roberts.
Cooper Kupp ($7,800 FD, $7,100 DK)
I don’t know why Kupp doesn’t get love as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL but that is exactly what he is. This season, Kupp is second in the NFL in receptions, fifth in receiving yards per game and is averaging 25.6 fantasy points per game which are most on this slate. In fact, if we look back further over his past 11 games that Kupp was healthy, he is averaging 22 fantasy points per game which is most in that span and has 60 yards and/or a TD in 10 of them according to Graham Barfield of NFL.com. This week I don’t see Kupp slowing down even in a tough match-up against the 49ers and I am going to take advantage of the slight discount you are getting with him over other top wideouts.
DeAndre Hopkins ($8,400 FD, $7,400 DK)
We have not seen the Hopkins we have come to expect since the first game of the season. Since that game, Hopkins has not seen double-digit targets in a game and only has had over 15 fantasy points once. While those are concerning numbers my gut says that Hopkins breaks out this week against the Chiefs. This game is projected to be extremely high scoring with the highest projected total on the slate at 55 and frankly, the Chiefs don’t have anyone that can match-up with Hopkins. In fact, if you look at PFF’s WR/CB chart you will see that Hopkins has the fifth-best match-up on this slate.
Julio Jones ($8,500 FD, $8,000 DK)
I know Jones has done squat the past two weeks but don’t let that scare you away from him this week as he is going to go off this week. The reason why I believe Jones is going to go off this week is due to the match-up against the Cardinals. The Cardinals are going to be without Patrick Peterson once again this week and shouldn’t have an answer for Jones in a game that should be fast-paced and high scoring. Jones also played well against the Cardinals last season with six catches for 82 yards and a score on his way to 20.2 fantasy points.
Larry Fitzgerald ($5,600 FD, $6,100 DK)
I am all over Larry Legend this week for a couple of reasons. The first is the way Fitzgerald has produced. Fitzgerald has at least five catches in every game this season, is averaging 71.6 receiving yards per game and has at least 9.5 fantasy points in each game this season. The second reason is due to his match-up with the Falcons. The Falcons have allowed the fourth-most receiving yards to wide receivers this season, most touchdown passes to the position, and third-most fantasy points per game to the position. They struggle the most with slot receivers and Fitzgerald has the ninth-best individual match-up according to PFF’s WR/CB match-up chart. Fitzgerald also would get a huge boost if Christian Kirk and Damiere Byrd both miss a second straight game.
Michael Thomas ($8,200 FD, $7,800 DK)
Thomas is an elite option each week the Saints take the field. This season, Thomas has at least nine catches for 89 yards in four of his five games. Thomas has at least 16 fantasy points in each game this season. This week we can expect more of the same from Thomas as he takes on a Jaguars team that should be without Jaylen Ramsey once again. I do have two knocks on Thomas this week that drop him down in my rankings. The first is I simply don’t love his upside as much as I like some of the other elite wide receivers on this slate. The second is his ownership should be through the roof after everyone chases last week’s huge game.
Preston Williams ($5,600 FD, $4,100 DK)
It might seem weird to target a Dolphins player for how bad they have been this season but I actually like both DeVante Parker and Preston Williams. The reason why I like both of them this week is due to the match-up against the Redskins. This season the Redskins have allowed the second-most touchdowns to wide receivers and fourth-most fantasy points per game to the position. If only picking one which I would likely do as I doubt I will have any Dolphins stacks this week or ever this season, Williams gets the slight edge over Parker. The reason I am giving a slight edge to Williams is the fact he has been slightly better than Parker. Williams has at least four catches for 45 yards in each of the past three weeks and has at least eight fantasy points in every game this season. He has also been targeted more with Josh Rosen under center with 19 targets in Rosen’s two starts to ten for Parker.
Will Fuller V ($6,600 FD, $6,000 DK)
Fuller is going to be a popular name this week after he exploded last week with 14 catches for 217 yards, three scores, and 56.7 fantasy points. While there is no way in hell that Fuller has that kind of performance again this week there are reasons to believe that he has another big game this week. The first of those reasons is the fact that Fuller has at least six targets in each of his past four games. While six targets are not a lot for most players it is for a player like Fuller. Fuller has a touchdown rate of over 10% in his career. The second reason I like Fuller to have another big game is the match-up with the Chiefs. This game between the Texans and Chiefs should be extremely high scoring as both teams don’t play defense well. The Chiefs also have a bad secondary with Fuller having the eighth-best individual match-up on the slate. Another thing that I like about Fuller this week is his past performances against the Chiefs. Fuller has faced the Chiefs twice in his career. In those games, he is averaging 80.5 yards and a score.
Amari Cooper ($8,100 FD, $7,000 DK)
Cooper has a knack for being inconsistent and while that may be the case compared to other elite wide receviers he still has a decent floor to go with his ceiling. This season, Cooper has at least four catches for 40 yards and nine fantasy points in each game while having three games over 25 fantasy points. This week is a week that we should see a ceiling game from Cooper as he has the best individual match-up on this slate according to the WR/CB chart. With that being said I don’t have Cooper ranked as high as some of the other elite wide receivers on this slate as his floor while still decent is much lower.