Welcome to the FC Insights Tight End Targets Article. In this post, we will be breaking down our top options and plays at the TE position for each DFS week of the 2019-2020 NFL DFS season.
In this article, I am going to give you the top five tight ends in my personal model which uses a number of factors like Vegas total, match-up, salary, etc. Please note that just because a player is not in this article doesn’t mean that I don’t like them or that they are not in my player pool.
Last Weeks Results
Based off of DraftKings scoring
- Evan Engram (31.60 fantasy points, 6.6x value, TE1)
- George Kittle (13.40 fantasy points, 2.0x value, TE8)
- Geoff Swaim (5.70 fantasy points, 2.0x value, TE21)
- Hunter Henry (10.00 fantasy points, 2.6x value, TE15)
- Travis Kelce (11.80 fantasy points, 1.7x value, TE11)
Mark Andrews ($6,100 FD, $3,800 DK)
Andrews tops my tight end rankings for two reasons this week. The first is the way he looked in week one. Andrews was Lamar Jackson’s favorite target a year ago and in week one he saw eight targets which were 35% of Jackson’s passes. Andrews turned those targets into eight catches for 108 yards and a score. While that may seem like a one-time performance from the second-year player I would be shocked if he didn’t repeat it this week against the Cardinals. The match-up with the Cardinals is the second reason that Andrews is at the top of my rankings. Last season, the Cardinals allowed 19.7 fantasy points per game to the position according to FantasyPros which was the seventh highest in the NFL and in week one they gave up six catches, 131 yards and a score to T.J. Hockenson which set all kinds of records for a tight end in their debut game.
Darren Waller ($5,400 FD, $3,300 DK)
Waller was a flashy name in the offseason and looked great on Monday Night against the Broncos. In that game, Waller had seven catches for 70 yards on eight targets. This week the volume should be there once again for Waller and we should see similar production as the match-up with the Chiefs is an elite one. Last season the Chiefs ranked 25th in DVOA against tight end and allowed the second-most fantasy points per game to the position. What I love most about Waller is his salary as he dirt cheap on both sites this week.
George Kittle ($7,100 FD, $6,800 DK)
Kittle had two touchdowns called back due to flags in week one which hurt his fantasy production but even with the touchdowns called back he still had a nice day. Kittle had eight catches for 54 yards on ten targets in that game. That kind of performance looks to be Kittle’s floor week in and week out making him one of the safest players at the position. This week I have a feeling that we see a ceiling game for Kittle due to the match-up against the Bengals. Last season the Bengals allowed the most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
Travis Kelce ($8,000 FD, $7,300 DK)
Kelce was a player that I had ranked high in my rankings and also said to fade him as I didn’t think it was worth paying up for him with some of the other tight ends on the slate. I was correct in that assessment as Kelce only had three catches for 88 yards. This week I am saying the same thing when it comes to Kelce as I don’t think he is worth paying up for with some of the other tight ends at a much cheaper salary on this slate. With that being said Kelce is in a great match-up this week against the Raiders. Last season the Raiders had the worst DVOA against the position. Kelce also did play excellent against them last season especially in their first meeting catching 12 passes for 168 yards and two scores in that game.
Delanie Walker ($5,900 FD, $3,500 DK)
Walker is one of the most underrated players in the NFL and showed how good he is in week one. In that game which was his first action in a year after suffering a season-ending injury in week one last year, Walker had five catches for 55 yards and two scores. While we cannot count on two scores from Walker each week we can count on him to catch five-plus passes for 50 plus yards weekly. What I really like about Walker this week besides his high floor is his match-up. The Colts funnel targets to both running backs and tight ends and in week one they allowed four catches for 60 yards to Hunter Henry who is another elite tight end.