The Hitting Rundown: Featuring stacks to target for the FanDuel & DraftKings MLB DFS slate on September 11, 2019.
Number of Games: 14
Teams with high projected run totals (5.0 or above): LAD (5.5), ATL (5.2), BOS (5.5), WAS (5.5), CHW (5.6), STL (7.6), COL (6.0)
Games with weather concerns: ATL @ PHI, LAD @ BAL, WAS @ MIN, KC @ CHW
Cardinals vs. Antonio Senzatela (Projected total: 7.6)
I normally don’t write up teams playing at Coors in this article as you don’t really need me to tell you to play them but today is going to be an exception. The Cardinals are just that much better of a team to stack tonight as they take on Antonio Senzatela. Senzatela is an awful pitcher who has allowed at least five runs in seven straight starts. For the season he has an ERA of 7.19, an HR/9 rate of 1.31 and a WHIP of 1.79. Senzatela also strikes out little to no batters with a K rate of just 11.8% and allows a ton of hard contact with a 37.4% rate this season. The Cardinals are also likely to be a little under owned tonight compared to most slates as they only put up one run at Coors last night.
Reds vs. Marco Gonzales (Projected total: 4.4)
The Reds let me down big time last night but I am going right back to them tonight as they are still very affordable and get to face another not so good left-handed pitcher. This time that pitcher is Marco Gonzales. Gonzales has an ERA of 4.37, an HR/9 rate of 1.03 and a WHIP of 1.37 this season. Now those numbers are not horrible but they are also not exactly good. Gonzales is also in bad form right now as he has allowed 11 runs and three home runs in his past two starts. The Reds once again also hit left-handed pitching well as a team with a projected lineup that features eight guys with an OPS of at least .720 and wRC+ of at least 98 against left-handed pitching since the start of last season.
White Sox vs. Glenn Sparkman (Projected total: 5.6)
The White Sox might not seem like a high-risk stack with their projected total but that is exactly what they are based on their season-long numbers. This season the White Sox have the fourth-lowest team wOBA and second-lowest team ISO against right-handed pitching. With that being said I am willing to take the risk with the White Sox tonight as Glenn Sparkman is bad. Sparkman has allowed four runs in each of his past three starts and in seven of his past nine starts. For the season, Sparkman has a FIP of 6.06, an HR/9 rate of 2.07 and a WHIP of 1.05.
Good luck today! If you have any questions, you can follow and send me questions on Twitter @zachsgotmoxy.