The Starting 5: Expert Fantasy Football Lineup Picks to Build a Winning NFL DFS Roster on FanDuel for Week 17 (Main Slate).
In this post, we highlight 5 key plays (one at each position) that we recommend for the given week of the 2018-2019 NFL DFS season.
QB – Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) vs CIN, $8,700
If not spending all the way up for Patrick Mahomes this week, Big Ben is certainly a guy you’ll have to give significant thought to rostering.
This is a must-win game for the Steelers as they cling to what is left of their playoff hopes. And when it comes to making sure you get 20+ fantasy points from the QB position, Ben is one of a very small number of pivots that have consistently put up that kind of production this year (9 times and narrowly missed the mark in 2 others).
He roasted the Bengals for 369 yards in week 6, and although he only had 1 TD in that one, the presence of James Conner certainly helped to take the load off from a scoring perspective.
The Steelers currently have the second-highest total on the slate and are expected to lean more heavily on the passing attack due to the health of James Conner. This week, I think it’s pretty safe to assume that Ben will throw for over 300 yards again with multiple TDs once all is said and done.
RB – Damien Williams (KC) vs OAK, $6,900
The last time these 2 teams faced off they scored a combined 73 points. That was when Spencer Ware was taking the majority of the snaps at RB for KC, but only managed 3.4 yards per carry.
Let’s assume Ware is out once again for week 17 (currently questionable). That would put Williams in another fantastic spot at a sub-$7K salary.
The Chiefs are currently projected for an elite 33.25 points on the slate (-14 point favorites at that), and are surely to use the ground attack to help either get ahead or ice the game. Williams has been absolutely fantastic in his last 3 games for KC, with at least 17 FDP in each and over 21.5 in his last 2.
What you have to love about him is the catch rate (he’s failed to bring in only one of the 20 targets he’s been presented with in his last 4 games) and usage as a part of the offense. Even if Ware is going to suit up in week 17, I’m not convinced that he’s going to usurp Williams on the depth chart altogether as Williams is showing up as a more dynamic back.
The TD and receiving upside for a team with an elite total on this slate makes him someone I’m targeting as a RB2 or FLEX option this week.
WR – Julian Edelman (NE) vs NYJ, $7,100
This is an important game for the Patriots, as they have a chance to claim the AFC’s #1 seed if they win and the Chiefs and Chargers lose. Unlikely, especially given that the Chiefs are 14 point favorites at home – but the point is that the game matters.
While Tom Brady has been incredibly hard to trust from a QB standpoint this year, Edelman has been as reliable as you could expect coming off his 4 week suspension. He’s scored at least double-digit FDP in all but 2 of his games this year, and has 10+ targets in 3 straight with at least 12.5 FDP per game in that time.
The Jets have been getting absolutely roasted by opposing WRs in the last 4 weeks, giving up over 245 receiving yards, 1.25 TD and 42.5 FDP to the position in that time (tops in the league). For a guy that is surely to be a focal point of the passing attack for New England, he seems to be as good of a cash game target as it gets in week 17.
TE – Travis Kelce (KC) vs OAK, $7,700
As much as I love Williams this week, I feel just as enthusiastic about getting Kelce active. The Raiders are allowing the 4th most FDP to the TE position in the last 4 weeks (over 77 YPG), and they showed they were really not up to task in stopping him when they faced off in week 13.
In that contest, Kelce went off for 168 yards and 2 scores on 13 targets (12 receptions). Truly elite production that will be hard to match 1:1 – but not out of the question to hit at least a 2+ ROI mark.
Given the strong match-up, great game (and team) totals and his elite usage as a part of the KC passing attack, he’s a very nice TE1 option that is not going to be hard to find room for on the slate. Especially with the lack of top-tier RBs on the main slate from a positional spend perspective.
DEF/ST – Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers, $3,300
Despite a higher opposing team total than some of the other more “obvious” DEF/ST plays in week 17 (25 points for the Bucs), I’m all in on ATL for only $3,300.
Jameis Winston continues to turn the ball over on a consistent basis, with at least 1 in each of his last 3 games – and the Falcons have been doing an excellent job pressuring the QB in their last 3 with 13 sacks, 5 INT and 2 fumble recoveries in that time.
For the dirt cheap price of $3,300 on Sunday, we get a group playing well (ATL) against a team that has a high turnover tendency. These reasons – and the value in particular – make them a really strong low-price play with plenty of upside. Especially for a team with 14 and 20 fantasy points in each of their last 2 games.