FanDuel Expert NBA DFS Cash Game & GPP Lineup Picks for the Friday, March 9, 2018 main slate.
Daily fantasy basketball lineup advice, picks and plays (3/9) to help you win your NBA DFS contests.
Let’s take a closer look at some FanDuel plays for tonight’s contests with our “Starting 5” picks for the day’s main slate.
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In this column, we give you a play to consider at each position and then our Sixth Man, who is a key play we believe you should spend up for on the slate.
PG – Frank Mason III, SAC, $3,900
With De’Aaron Fox out of the lineup for the Kings tonight, it’s going to be the Frank Mason show (to some degree). Mason should step in and play nearly (if not more than) 30 minutes for the Kings, and had 32.3 FDP in 29 minutes his last game (March 7 vs NOP). The last game he started, he scored 24.3 FDP vs PHX in 34 minutes of action – and while a sub-20% usage rate is likely, his price is low enough that it will easily pay off in cash games.
SG – Jrue Holiday, NOP, $8,500
Jrue is a key building block to roll with tonight, as Anthony Davis is set to sit out for the Pelicans. Holiday has been on one heck of a roll of late, scoring 43+ FDP in 3 straight games and at least 35 FDP since February 10 (10 straight games). A mid to high-30s minutes allotment is in the cards for Holiday here, and the usage rate will follow suit with a 28-33% projection according to my math (if not higher). It doesn’t get much better than Holiday for cash games tonight – and the high own% projection could make him someone to fade in GPPs if you want contrarian exposure. Just don’t be surprised if he drops 45-50 FDP and is an asset in tournaments even with a higher own% as well.
SF – Mario Hezonja, ORL, $4,300
With Evan Fournier and Aaron Gordon out for the Magic, we are set to see Hezonja’s minutes and usage spike once again. It was just a few weeks ago (mid-February) that Mario was starting and seeing over 30 minutes of action, and in a span of 6 consecutive games, he scored 39.5, 20.2, 29, 33.6, 51.2 and 43.5 FanDuel points. That was over 35 FDP (average), and despite one of the lower Vegas totals on the slate, I have a hard time playing any lineup without Hezonja thanks to the elite minutes, usage and value potential.
PF – Nikola Mirotic, NOP, $6,700
Right up there with Jrue Holiday is Mirotic for me tonight. With Anthony Davis and DeMarcus Cousins off the floor (and Miro on it, of course), he has a 28.3% usage rate and 46.8 FDP average (per 36 MIN). That is just about as elite of an outlook as it gets, considering the price point, solid recent form (31.9+ FDP in 3 straight), minutes boost that is due his way thanks to injuries, and excellent Vegas outlook for exposure. Fire him up with confidence in all formats tonight and enjoy the ride.
C – Emeka Okafor, NOP, $3,800
I expect Okafor and Cheick Diallo to both see an increase in minutes with Davis out tonight – and Okafor is my choice at C to provide rock solid cash game value. The Wizards are a good match-up for him from a minutes projection perspective, as Marcin Gortat is the kind of guy that is going to demand a pro-defense big on the floor for 20+ minutes. Okafor’s still an effective rebounder and shot blocker, and has hit the 24+ FDP mark with ease of late while the minutes have been there. For under $4,000 on a slate where you want to spend up for 3-4 names, he’s a nice source of value – particularly at a position where I’m not chomping at the bit to pay up too high with the way it’s shaking out.
The Sixth Man
SF – Kevin Durant, GSW, $9,800
No Stephen Curry means all of the KD for the Warriors this evening. When Curry is off the floor, Durant has an elite 34.3% usage rate, and is averaging over 52 FDP per 36 minutes of action in the split. That usage rate spike is +4.8% higher than out of the split, showcasing the floor/ceiling combination the assuredness of the offensive responsibility does for his fantasy value (with Curry removed from the equation). Durant went out and had a big game last night, scoring 65.2 FDP in 38 minutes (35.2% usage rate) – and despite the B2B here, the price is too low to keep him off your roster. Just for good measure, he dropped 69.4 FDP against the Blazers when they last faced off, and it’s not crazy to think that another 60+ FDP performance is headed his way tonight with how the factors shake out heading into Friday night.