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December 6, 2017 – FanDuel NBA DFS Expert Lineup Picks – The Starting 5

FanDuel Expert NBA DFS Cash Game & GPP Lineup Picks for the Wednesday, December 6, 2017 slate.

Daily fantasy basketball lineup advice, picks and plays (12/6) to help you win your NBA DFS contests.

Let’s take a closer look at some FanDuel plays for tonight’s contests with our “Starting 5” picks for the day’s slate.

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In this column, we give you a play to consider at each position and then our Sixth Man, who is a key play we believe you should spend up for on the slate.

PG – Austin Rivers, LAC, $6,200

Despite a salary that is up +$2,100 over the course of the season, I think it’s the perfect time to deploy Rivers on Wednesday. He’s proven his worth as a go-to guy on offense for the Clippers without Patrick Beverley, playing high-30s in minutes on a regular basis, and having outproduced his implied total in 5 of the last 6 games with 35+ FDP in 4 of those outings. His ability to score (via plenty of shots taken), distribute (5+ assists in 6 of his last 7) and seemingly checking in as a lock for a high-20s usage rate as well (27.2% the last time these 2 teams met), he’s as good as it gets at the position in my books.

SG – Klay Thompson, GSW, $6,900

Stephen Curry is hurt for the next couple weeks, and Thompson’s price is just far too cheap when you look at the high floor contributions he brings to the table in a fairly balanced lineup approach we can take on the slate. His usage has increased +4.2% (full points) with Curry off the floor this year, and that’s the kind of added responsibility we like to see from a guy that is quite scoring dependant. That said, Vegas has this as a tight game (5.5 point spread), and a positive pace environment that should feature plenty of scoring. He’s been right around the 30-35 FDP mark in every game since the 22nd of November, and makes for a really nice cash game option at a sub-$7,000 price point where reliable minutes and usage role can be hard to come by at SG.

SF – DeAndre’ Bembry, ATL, $3,800

I had him here on Monday night, and he didn’t disappoint. With FanDuel only raising his price +$100 since then, I’m going back to the well for a guy that is not only playing well, but is doing so with mid-20s minutes and a mid-20s usage rate. The injuries to the Hawks’ front court has allowed Bembry to scoop up meaningful minutes of late, and he’s looking like a viable low-cost “punt” play on this deep slate. With his minutes and hustle, it’s hard to see him failing to hit a 4.5-5.0 ROI as a baseline tonight – particularly as he gets more comfortable and the coaching staff gives him additional trust via the coveted minutes increase we love to see in DFS.

PF – Taj Gibson, MIN, $5,700

Another holdover for me from Monday, and he is yet again just too good to pass up in cash games at this price. The minutes and double-double potential makes him a lock for cash game lineups in my books today. For under $6,000, we get a high-minutes, 28-35 FDP threat (who has done so in 5 of his last 6) that plays a Clippers team that he just finished with a healthy double-double (20-11) against on the third of December. He should be chalky tonight, but I have a very hard time fading a guy with the great leading indicators and positive recency bias for cash games (though you can certainly look another direction in GPPs for contrarian exposure.)

C – Kevin Love, CLE, $8,200

Frankly, I don’t mind punting the C position tonight for a guy like Cody Zeller or even Aron Baynes if we want to get frisky, but I think the safer thing to do in cash games is to roll out Kevin Love instead. He’s been one of the more reliable mid-range producers at the position over the last month, averaging 38.6 FDP in his last 14 games with a very high consistency rating per our FC Lineup Cruncher dashboard. The Cavs have a 111.5 Vegas team total, and Love is on a roll with 42+ FDP in 3 of his last 4 games while doing a great job rebounding the basketball in the process (11, 13, 16 boards in his last 3). His usage has been up and down, but reaching as high as 48.4% against the Heat last week has to really get you intrigued – especially when the 32.1% and 33.4% marks in 2 of his last 3 are fantastic in their own right and perhaps a more realistic expectation of what’s to come tonight. He should finish as a cash game asset with a baseline of a 4.5 ROI as a reasonable projection vs SAC in what appears to be a great DvP match-up for him considering his ability to stretch the floor with excellent shooting skills from range.

The Sixth Man

SF – LeBron James, CLE, $11,800

I toyed with the idea of naming Kevin Durant here instead (due for an increase in role with Curry out, but I much prefer the way Klay is rolling right now for GSW exposure), but LeBron is just playing basketball at too high of a level right now to pass up in cash games. His price on FanDuel is still very nice relative to where it is on DraftKings, and this is a plus match-up against the Kings where Vegas has the Cavs as one of the higher projected team totals at 111.5 right now. LeBron is averaging 53.2 FDP in his last 14 games, and ranks as one of the most consistent contributors in his price range (i.e. 5 digit salary tier) in that time – with low bust potential and plenty of room for ceiling in there as well considering his well-rounded game and high minutes role. It may seem counter-intuitive to play both him and Love in the same lineup, but they are the focal point of the offense together and both will feature elite usage rates – not to mention a flat correlation on the year that should really scare you off. James is as safe as it gets for cash games on a slate like this if you decide to spend up for a roster slot, but I do like the idea of going elsewhere in GPPs as the $11,800 price point does significantly handicap you for other spends and tends to lower the general team ceiling as a result.

About Jared Kwart

Jared is an expert fantasy sports player for both DFS and season-long formats. Specializing in DFS Baseball, Football & Basketball, with tens of thousands of dollars in career DFS earnings. Active player on FanDuel, DraftKings & FantasyDraft. Annual NFBC high stakes league participant.

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