NFL DFS Starting 5 - Expert Lineup Picks for FanDuel & DraftKings 2017 2018 NFL DFS expert lineup DFS picks winning DFS daily fantasy football picks football american football national football league sports

Week 3 NFL DFS Expert Lineup Picks for FanDuel – The Starting 5

The Starting 5: Expert Lineup Picks to Build a Winning NFL DFS Roster on FanDuel for Week 3 of the 2017-2018 Season.

Welcome to the FC Insights Starting 5 column for FanDuel. In this post, we highlight 5 key plays (one at each position) that we recommend for the given week of the 2017-2018 NFL DFS season.

We’ll cover the QB, RB, WR, TE and DEF/ST positions to help you build your FanDuel lineup.

The focus of this week’s article covers the week 3 Main slate.

QB – Carson Wentz, PHI, $7,700

As you can probably see and think right off the bat – this may not be the chalkiest play on the board at QB for week 3. However, it’s shaping up to be a slate that I believe you can spend below $8,000 for and get away with a strong ROI option. Matt Ryan, Drew Brees, Derek Carr, Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady are decent enough options on this slate, but I like what Wentz brings to the table at nearly $2,000 less than Brady (for example). Through his first 2 games of the year, Wentz has 19.88 and 25.82 FanDuel points, and has thrown the ball an average of 42.5 times while totalling 2 TDs in each. You have to love that kind of volume from a passer these days.

He’s also tucked the ball away 4 times in each game and has the athleticism to do enough on the ground to help give you an extra couple fantasy points with his legs. I expect this game against the Giants to have a fairly solid total in the mid to high 40s, and he should be able to do enough damage to threaten for a 3.0 return on investment. Note that Matthew Stafford is an intriguing pivot vs ATL for just $200 more, and based on how he looks on MNF, I may decide to change the recommendation up in this column since game flow there could dictate even more responsibility on the DET QB.

RB – Le’Veon Bell, PIT, $8,700

On FanDuel, Bell has now gone from $9,300 to $9,000 to $8,700 – making him a fantastic high-volume option for his week 3 match-up with the Bears. He carried the ball nearly 30 times last week against the Vikings – whose defense is far superior to Chicago’s. Early Vegas indicators have the Steelers at a 26.5 point expectancy and -7.5 favorites on the road. Bell continues to be a snap and market share hog for the Steelers, and I’m convinced that he’s the perfect guy to target in DFS while the value is increasing – particularly while the match-up is the best it’s been so far this year as well. There are plenty of other RBs to consider as RB2 plays for GPPs and such, but I think Bell makes for an excellent building block this week considering the match-up, projected flow of the game, and sure-fire bell cow role that will get him close to 30 touches for the second straight week.

WR – A.J. Green, CIN, $7,500

With Andy Dalton and the Bengals failing to score a touchdown through their first couple games of 2017-2018, I do believe they are going to be coming out firing on all fronts in their Sunday match-up with Green Bay. Not only have the Packers ranked below average defensively vs WR1s of late, bute Green’s price point of $7,500 here is an absolute steal. He continues to be Dalton’s #1 receiving target, with 18 targets through the first couple games and 10 receptions for 141 yards in total – including a nice chunk of red zone work (i.e. targets) as well. This game should see 45+ points with relative ease (and could easily have a total in the high-40s once announced), and game flow should support the Bengals’ star WR getting plenty of work through and through. He may not be as “safe” of a play as perhaps someone like Julio Jones on this slate, but dollar for dollar I don’t think you can go wrong. There’s an excellent ceiling here and I expect him to pay dividends for you wherever you decide to deploy him. He’s a WR1 talent for a WR2 price this week.

TE – Zach Ertz, PHI, $6,500

I’ve had Ertz in here for 2 weeks straight, and even though I want to vary it up for you a little bit for the sake of freshness, I can’t do it without feeling like I am not sharing one of the best values at the position. Travis Kelce and Jordan Reed are both in attractive match-ups this week, but are more expensive than Ertz and have a slightly higher beta. Through his first couple games of the year, Wentz has targeted him 18 times, with 13 of them going for receptions and 93+ yards in each. The Giants are not a strong defensive unit, and I believe we’ll see Ertz continue to be a strong play on FanDuel for a very fair price. I’ll likely be going a different route with my DraftKings play at the position this week – so stay tuned for that as well.

DEF/ST – Pittsburgh, $5,000

It won’t surprise me to see the Patriots as a highly-owned group this week against the Texans, but I believe you can do slightly better with the Steelers against the Bears. They have 18 and 8 FDP through their first 2 games, thanks to 27 total points allowed in that time, 9 sacks and 2 turnovers in the process. They did a fantastic job against the Vikings in week 2 who were without their typical starting QB Sam Bradford due to a last minute decision to sit him – and the week 3 match-up with Mike Glennon could easily yield 1-2 turnovers and maybe even a defensive TD if all breaks right. The Steelers are a high floor DEF/ST play this week with a very solid ceiling, but I do expect them to be fairly popular in all formats. There are a few other groups that are $500-$1,000 cheaper that you can consider, and we will be sure to cover them in the bargain bin column and detailed DEF/ST breakdown later this week (so stay tuned!).

Note: Our Week 1 NFL DFS content on FC Insights was free for all to enjoy. For Week 2 and beyond, some content will only be available to FC Members. Sign up today or contact us for more information if you’re interested in joining!

About Jared Kwart

Jared is an expert fantasy sports player for both DFS and season-long formats. Specializing in DFS Baseball, Football & Basketball, with tens of thousands of dollars in career DFS earnings. Active player on FanDuel, DraftKings & FantasyDraft. Annual NFBC high stakes league participant.

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