The Starting 5: Expert Lineup Picks to Build a Winning NFL DFS Roster on FanDuel for Week 3 of the 2017-2018 Season.
Welcome to the FC Insights Starting 5 column for FanDuel. In this post, we highlight 5 key plays (one at each position) that we recommend for the given week of the 2017-2018 NFL DFS season.
We’ll cover the QB, RB, WR, TE and DEF/ST positions to help you build your FanDuel lineup.
The focus of this week’s article covers the week 3 Main slate.
QB – Carson Wentz, PHI, $7,700
As you can probably see and think right off the bat – this may not be the chalkiest play on the board at QB for week 3. However, it’s shaping up to be a slate that I believe you can spend below $8,000 for and get away with a strong ROI option. Matt Ryan, Drew Brees, Derek Carr, Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady are decent enough options on this slate, but I like what Wentz brings to the table at nearly $2,000 less than Brady (for example). Through his first 2 games of the year, Wentz has 19.88 and 25.82 FanDuel points, and has thrown the ball an average of 42.5 times while totalling 2 TDs in each. You have to love that kind of volume from a passer these days.
He’s also tucked the ball away 4 times in each game and has the athleticism to do enough on the ground to help give you an extra couple fantasy points with his legs. I expect this game against the Giants to have a fairly solid total in the mid to high 40s, and he should be able to do enough damage to threaten for a 3.0 return on investment. Note that Matthew Stafford is an intriguing pivot vs ATL for just $200 more, and based on how he looks on MNF, I may decide to change the recommendation up in this column since game flow there could dictate even more responsibility on the DET QB.
RB – Le’Veon Bell, PIT, $8,700
On FanDuel, Bell has now gone from $9,300 to $9,000 to $8,700 – making him a fantastic high-volume option for his week 3 match-up with the Bears. He carried the ball nearly 30 times last week against the Vikings – whose defense is far superior to Chicago’s. Early Vegas indicators have the Steelers at a 26.5 point expectancy and -7.5 favorites on the road. Bell continues to be a snap and market share hog for the Steelers, and I’m convinced that he’s the perfect guy to target in DFS while the value is increasing – particularly while the match-up is the best it’s been so far this year as well. There are plenty of other RBs to consider as RB2 plays for GPPs and such, but I think Bell makes for an excellent building block this week considering the match-up, projected flow of the game, and sure-fire bell cow role that will get him close to 30 touches for the second straight week.
WR – A.J. Green, CIN, $7,500
With Andy Dalton and the Bengals failing to score a touchdown through their first couple games of 2017-2018, I do believe they are going to be coming out firing on all fronts in their Sunday match-up with Green Bay. Not only have the Packers ranked below average defensively vs WR1s of late, bute Green’s price point of $7,500 here is an absolute steal. He continues to be Dalton’s #1 receiving target, with 18 targets through the first couple games and 10 receptions for 141 yards in total – including a nice chunk of red zone work (i.e. targets) as well. This game should see 45+ points with relative ease (and could easily have a total in the high-40s once announced), and game flow should support the Bengals’ star WR getting plenty of work through and through. He may not be as “safe” of a play as perhaps someone like Julio Jones on this slate, but dollar for dollar I don’t think you can go wrong. There’s an excellent ceiling here and I expect him to pay dividends for you wherever you decide to deploy him. He’s a WR1 talent for a WR2 price this week.
TE – Zach Ertz, PHI, $6,500
I’ve had Ertz in here for 2 weeks straight, and even though I want to vary it up for you a little bit for the sake of freshness, I can’t do it without feeling like I am not sharing one of the best values at the position. Travis Kelce and Jordan Reed are both in attractive match-ups this week, but are more expensive than Ertz and have a slightly higher beta. Through his first couple games of the year, Wentz has targeted him 18 times, with 13 of them going for receptions and 93+ yards in each. The Giants are not a strong defensive unit, and I believe we’ll see Ertz continue to be a strong play on FanDuel for a very fair price. I’ll likely be going a different route with my DraftKings play at the position this week – so stay tuned for that as well.
DEF/ST – Pittsburgh, $5,000
It won’t surprise me to see the Patriots as a highly-owned group this week against the Texans, but I believe you can do slightly better with the Steelers against the Bears. They have 18 and 8 FDP through their first 2 games, thanks to 27 total points allowed in that time, 9 sacks and 2 turnovers in the process. They did a fantastic job against the Vikings in week 2 who were without their typical starting QB Sam Bradford due to a last minute decision to sit him – and the week 3 match-up with Mike Glennon could easily yield 1-2 turnovers and maybe even a defensive TD if all breaks right. The Steelers are a high floor DEF/ST play this week with a very solid ceiling, but I do expect them to be fairly popular in all formats. There are a few other groups that are $500-$1,000 cheaper that you can consider, and we will be sure to cover them in the bargain bin column and detailed DEF/ST breakdown later this week (so stay tuned!).