DraftKings and FanDuel PGA DFS Lineup Targets & Picks – 2017 PGA Championship
Last week saw Hideki Matsuyama pick up a win at the WGC Bridgestone, capping off his tournament by firing a 61 on Sunday, making a charge to the win. This week, we have the fourth and final major of the season, the PGA Championship, played at Quail Hollow – which is one of the longer courses on tour.
At more than 7,600 yards, the par 71 track should be a stiff test for the field, especially with the rumours out there about how difficult it has been in practice rounds to play out of the rough. Driving distance, and accuracy will be paramount, and with reports about minimal roll on the fairways, and the course being tough to stick shots on the green – odds are that players will be tested a great deal this week.
I’ll be looking for guys that are playing good golf of late, players in good form first and foremost. Second, I like guys that can strike the ball well, while keeping it in play. Finally, I like a few players that have good course history here – though this is more of a cherry on top rather than me basing my plays around this.
The picks will be focused on some of my top plays for each price level, quickly noting their DraftKings and FanDuel prices – and rationale for why I like the play.
Rory McIlroy ($11,800 DK; $10,300 FD)
Despite the fact he will be chalky this week, I will be over-weight exposure to Rory. He enters this tournament in great form, with two top 5 finishes in the past two events (T4 at The Open, T5 at the WGC Bridgestone). His game has really rounded into form – and he has a great history at Quail Hollow on top of that. I think he is right in the thick of things when Sunday rolls around – and he is my favourite to take home the title in the fourth major of the year.
Brooks Koepka ($9,200 DK; $8,600 FD)
Koepka took some time off after capturing the US Open title in June, and didn’t miss a beat. He finished T6th at The Open, before finishing in 17th spot last week at the WCG Bridgestone event. He is reasonably priced, and his ball striking is well documented. I don’t expect low ownership levels here, but I feel he may fly under the radar more than he should given some of the players priced around him. He has a legit shot at winning this tournament, and I like him at this price-point on each site.
Daniel Berger ($7,700 DK; $7,100 FD)
Berger continues to play great golf, fresh off of a T17th at the WCG Bridgestone a week ago. He remains one of my favourite plays, and he is a great pivot off of Charley Hoffman, who will be a chalky (but good play) this week. You can likely get Berger at half the ownership levels, and in my opinion, he has just as good of a chance as Hoffman has for a Top 10 finish. He strikes the ball incredibly well – and I have no problem continuing to be over-weight exposure to him until he cools down.
Xander Schauffele ($7,000 DK; $6,200 FD)
Another week, another great finish for the young golfer, with a T13 for the WGC Bridgestone. With yet another strong field, we shouldn’t see him too highly owned – and I have no problem continuing to be over-weight exposure to Schauffele. He strikes the ball incredibly well, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he is in the thick of things in yet another major. He tied for 5th at the US Open, tied for 20th at The Open, and I like his chances of yet another relevant weekend, including a top 20 finish in his third consecutive major to cap the season’s majors off this weekend.
Below are good plays, but ones that I expect to be fairly popular. Unlike any chalk picks mentioned above, I will not be going over-weight with exposure here – but will have exposure to the names listed below. There is risk to going with zero shares of any of those listed, but if you fade and they don’t make it to the weekend, you could be in great shape:
- Hideki Matsuyama
- Charley Hoffman
- Tony Finau
- Zach Johnson
High Risk/High Reward
- Lucas Glover – Glover isn’t in great form – with no top 20 finishes in his past six events – but with that said, there is a lot to like about his game from a stat standpoint. He has strong course history here, and checks in 2nd in Greens in Regulation, 44th in Driving Distance, and 39th in Driving Accuracy. With so many reasonable options priced in the $7k or less range on DraftKings, I am not expecting high ownership levels on Glover (nor should I). I like him as a low owned play that could contend if he is able to putt this weekend.
- Hao-Tong Li – Li was the missing piece for many who chalked it up at The Open, finishing in third place, which was enough to diversify from many of the chalk plays that excelled in the third major of the year. He strikes the ball incredibly well, and while his driving accuracy can leave a little to be desired at times, he scrambles really well. This may be the last chance to get Li at lower ownership levels than he should have – and although I wouldn’t expect sub 1% ownership levels again – it wouldn’t surprise me to see him at 5-7% ownership, which is far too low for a player of his calibre. He remains a great punt with upside and low-moderate ownership.
Good luck this week!