DraftKings and FanDuel PGA DFS Lineup Targets & Picks – 2017 Greenbrier Classic
David Lingmerth led most of the way last week, only to fall apart on Sunday, sending the hopes and dreams of those with him down the drain when it comes to their contests.
This week, for the Greenbrier Classic, we have another rather mediocre field taking to the course. The tournament was cancelled last year due to the devastating flooding that they saw a year ago, but the course is back to the point where they felt they are able to host the tournament this week. The course is set to be played at 7,285 yards for the Par 70 track – and driving accuracy yet again, remains a focal point along with recent form when it comes to me building my line-ups.
I don’t feel that you have to spend all your salary this week – I am pretty optimistic for a lot of the lower priced golfers this week.
The picks will be focused on some of my top plays for each price level, quickly noting their DraftKings and FanDuel prices – and rationale for why I like the play.
Danny Lee ($9,500 DK; $8,400 FD)
He’ll be chalky this week – but for good reason. He has great course history here, including a win in a playoff in 2015 – and is coming off of two top 25 finishes (3rd at the Travelers and 22nd at the Quick Loans National) in the past two weeks. Look for him to keep things rolling this week. You won’t get him at low ownership levels, but I will be over-weight exposure on him this week.
Xander Schauffele ($7,900 DK; $6,600 FD)
I’ve been over-weight exposure to Schauffele the past two weeks, and will do so again this week. He can score at will – and although he can be a bit of a roller-coaster, he is a strong play this week. His price point is up, especially on DK this week, which I am hoping keeps his ownership levels low. He has the ability to compete in fields with great competition, as evidenced by his T5 finish at the US Open – and I think he will manage to win a smaller field event at some point in the next calendar year. He has a T5, T14, T35 in his past three tournaments, and I think he ends up in the top 20 this weekend.
Morgan Hoffman ($7,100 DK; $6,300 FD)
Hoffman has struggled for most of 2017 – but I like his chances of contending this weekend. He has two finishes in the top 26 in the past 4 tournaments, and he has the type of game that allows him to go low when he is firing on all cylinders. He is reasonably priced, and will not be too highly owned based on the fact he has only made 9 of 17 cuts YTD. There is some risk here, but I will be over-weight exposure to him this weekend.
Matt Jones ($6,800 DK; $6,100 FD)
While Jones may not be likely to win many tournaments, I do like his chances of going out and competing this weekend for a decent paycheque. He has made 8 of 10 cuts this year, including two finishes in the top 40 the past two weeks (T18 was his highest finish out of these two). He plays consistent golf, and is a nice pivot that will be lower owned than the likely chalky play of Stewart Cink. I like him to continue to trend upwards, and an event like the Greenbrier, with a weaker field, is one where he could crack the top 10.
Ricky Barnes ($6,700 DK; $5,900 FD)
Barnes is another guy that I was over-weight exposure on last week – and although I do expect him to be higher owned this week – I like what he brings to the table. He has made 4 of the past 5 cuts, including two top 20 finishes over that stretch, meaning that he is playing great golf. I am targeting the same types of golfers this week that I did a week ago, and Barnes fits the bill. I like his chances of sticking around until the weekend, and at this price – he provides the possibility for a great ROI on his price point.
Below are good plays, but ones that I expect to be fairly popular. Unlike any chalk picks mentioned above, I will not be going over-weight with exposure here – but will have exposure to the names listed below. There is risk to going with zero shares of any of those listed, but if you fade and they don’t make it to the weekend, you could be in great shape:
- Bill Haas (I’ll have at least 20% exposure to him in my line-ups)
- David Lingmerth (I’ll have at least 20% exposure to him in my line-ups)
- Charles Howell III
- Tony Finau
- Stewart Cink
High Risk/High Reward
- Tyrone Van Aswegen – Shouldn’t be too high owned this week, but I like what I’ve seen from him lately. He alternated poor rounds with very sharp play a week ago, and I think he plays more consistent golf this week. It wouldn’t shock me to see him crack the T20 this week, though there is risk here, he can be volatile.
Good luck this week!