MLB DFS Strategy: 5 Steps To Building a Winning MLB Cash Game Lineup on FanDuel
This week’s article is going to be focusing on some daily steps to help you create consistent winning lineups for cash games on FanDuel.
This will be very similar to last week’s article on cash games when playing on DraftKings, but I will try to add a few twists.
First off, if you have played MLB DFS on FanDuel this week, you will notice they changed their scoring system. Essentially it boils down to two changes: 1) FD tripled all the scoring from last year (single is now 3 points instead of 1) and 2) they took away negative points for batters.
Which means my daily goal is now about the same as on DK – right around 125 fantasy points. Over the first four days of MLB DFS, the cashing line has been between 112 and 121 in 50/50s. 125 points should give me a good chance to cash in the majority of 50/50 contests.
In FanDuel you have a $55,000 lineup salary. If our goal is 125 points, we are looking at a 2.3x return on investment (ROI). Essentially that means for every $1000 of your salary you spend, you want to accrue 2.3 points.
If a player costs $6,111 ($55K divided by the 9 roster spots), they will need to net you about 14 points on average (more for pitchers and less for position players, explained below).
Step #1) Get out your W flag – Sorry, couldn’t help the Chicago Cubs reference! On no other DFS site is the pitcher’s bonus points for getting the win more important than on FanDuel. The +12 points for the W is essentially 10% of your our target score. 10%! I cannot stress enough how crucial getting these 12 points is for cashing regularly on FD.
NOTE: Unlike DraftKings, pitchers don’t lose points for allowing hits, walks, or hitting a batter. They only lose points for earned runs. Why is this important? A pitcher’s WHIP (walks and hits allowed per inning pitched) should not be weighed as heavily as their ERA and K/9. This means that pitchers like Rick Porcello are actually more viable plays on FanDuel than DraftKings.
In order to get my 14 average points per player, I rely on my pitchers to actually have a higher ROI, about 5.0-5.5x, of my target point total, putting it roughly around 50-60 points total from my pitcher (depending on the player’s salary). This may seem pretty high, but remember 12 of those points are from the almighty W.
This allows me to have a more conservative approach when selecting position players so I can expect just above a 2.0x ROI average per position player.
Step #2) Home ”Run” Field Advantage – After I do my pitcher research, I check out where games are being played. In my DraftKings article I listed the top offensive parks, so as not to repeat, here are the least offensive parks from last season (courtesy of ESPN):
Fewest Runs Allowed:
5. Comerica Park (Detroit Tigers)
4. Safeco Field (Seattle Mariners)
3. Citi Field (New York Mets) ** Although I doubt this is the case this year…
2. Angel Stadium (Anaheim Angels)
1. AT&T Park (San Francisco Giants) ** 18 runs were scored here on Thursday…
Fewest Home Runs Allowed:
3. Marlins Park (Miami Marlins)
2. Turner Field (Atlanta Braves)
1. AT&T Park (San Francisco Giants)