Create User Account

Create Account An email will be sent to you for verification before account will be active.

Enter Verification Code

A 4 digit verification code has been emailed to you. Please enter the code here.

If you have not received your verification code, please check your spam folder, or click here to resend the code.

The Untouchables – 5 RB/WR’s I won’t Draft based on ADP

There are certain players that I simply put on my do not draft list – barring them falling multiple rounds, thus creating value.

This week we will be featuring a series of articles based around who I like/don’t like relative to their ADP’s.  Today, I take a look at five players that I won’t be drafting in 2014 re-drafts at their current ADP.

RB Arian Foster

Sure, he is just two years removed from being a consensus top 3 option at the RB position – but I just don’t see myself drafting Foster this year unless he really falls like a stone in my drafts.  His current ADP among runningbacks is 11th, 19th overall – and I just see too many other safe options with upside available in those spots.  When I’m locking into a player with a second round pick – I want to make sure that I am getting return on my investment.  Given the troubles that he is having with his back problems, it is something that will always linger – and I just cannot confidently pull the trigger on selecting him that early.

RB C.J. Spiller

I love CJ Spiller as a RB.  I think he can do it all – but there are major questionmarks surrounding him for 2014.  First, the Bills offence will likely struggle to score touchdowns.  I don’t have much confidence in EJ Manuel to lead them to enough drives to be a well oiled machine as an offensive unit.  Second, even when they do score, Fred Jackson appears to be set for the goalline carries.  Third, there is questions around the durability of Spiller – who has only averaged 205 carries per season over the last two years.  With a current ADP of 35th overall, I just cannot imagine myself locking into a Spiller selection that early.

WR Cordarrelle Patterson

Patterson is an elite playmaker.  There is no questioning his talent – and I remain extremely high on him in dynasty formats.  But with a current ADP of 51st overall in redrafts – you are using a fairly early pick – and will be relying on Patterson to be a key contributor to your fantasy lineup in any redraft where you do own him.  He posted 628 yards from scrimmage to go along with 7 TD’s in his rookie season – and I do expect him to improve upon these numbers in 2014.  Just not enough to justify a 4th or 5th round pick to lock him up.  I think he is one year away from truly breaking out.

WR Percy Harvin

Harvin is another WR with an elite skillset.  He will be playing in the Seattle offence – which is focused on spreading the ball around with a balanced approach.  The main issue though that I have with Harvin is his health.  He has played in 10 total games over the past two seasons.  With a current ADP of 52nd, it is too early for me to be rolling on the dice to count on Harvin as a key cog for any of my 2014 lineups.  Afterall, we are talking about a player who has never caught 90 balls, eclipsed 1,000 receiving yards, or scored double digit TD’s in any season.

WR Sammy Watkins

I wrote about why I am not as high as most on Watkins in my WR rankings – and nothing has really changed on that front.  I love his skill set, but the environment in Buffalo is not likely to be one that Watkins will be able to flourish in right away.  With an ADP of 88th OVR, you are looking at locking into Watkins in round 7 – which likely means as your WR3.  Sure – he has the skills to outproduce the WR3 roster slot that you are drafting him for – but I just don’t see that happening in 2014.

source: For ADP’s, we have used the great composite rankings from www.fantasypros.com.  You can find them here: http://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/rankings/consensus-cheatsheets.php

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

Check Also

The Moxyball MLB DFS Starting Five - FanDuel & DraftKings Daily Fantasy baseball Lineup Advice - fanduel MLB scoring fanduel MLB partnership fanduel MLB strategy fanduel MLB deal fanduel MLB picks fanduel MLB lineups fanduel MLB investment fanduel MLB sponsorship fanduel MLB draft fanduel MLB preseason fanduel MLB advice fanduel MLB algorithm fanduel MLB lineup advice fanduel MLB bargains fanduel MLB blog best fanduel MLB strategy fanduel MLB cheat sheet fanduel MLB christmas fanduel MLB king of the court fanduel MLB daily picks fanduel MLB daily lineup fanduel MLB finals fanduel MLB freeroll fanduel MLB fantasy lineup fanduel MLB forum MLB fantasy fanduel picks fanduel MLB help fanduel MLB lineup help fanduel MLB insider fanduel MLB lineup picks MLB fanduel lineup tonight MLB fanduel starting lineup top fanduel lineup MLB fanduel MLB optimal lineup fanduel MLB projections fanduel MLB playoffs fanduel MLB player stats fanduel MLB player rankings MLB fanduel picks 12/4/13 fanduel MLB value plays fanduel MLB value picks fanduel MLB rules fanduel MLB roster fanduel MLB rankings rotogrinders fanduel MLB fanduel MLB stats fanduel MLB spreadsheet fanduel MLB salaries fanduel MLB sleepers fanduel MLB teams fanduel MLB tips fanduel MLB picks today fanduel MLB lineup fanduel MLB value fanduel MLB Wednesday daily fantasy baseball lineups daily fantasy baseball books daily fantasy baseball sites daily fantasy baseball algorithm daily fantasy baseball plays daily fantasy baseball news daily fantasy baseball sleepers daily fantasy baseball help daily fantasy baseball forum daily fantasy baseball cheat sheet daily fantasy baseball strategy daily fantasy baseball advice daily fantasy baseball analysis daily fantasy college baseball advice daily fantasy baseball expert advice best daily fantasy baseball advice daily fantasy baseball points against daily fantasy baseball blog best daily fantasy baseball lineup best daily fantasy baseball site best strategy for daily fantasy baseball daily fantasy college baseball daily fantasy college baseball picks daily fantasy college baseball tips daily fantasy college baseball plays daily fantasy college baseball strategy daily fantasy baseball salary cap strategy fantasy baseball daily line up changes fantasy baseball roster changes daily daily fantasy baseball data fantasy baseball daily dose daily dozen fantasy baseball daily fantasy baseball daily fantasy baseball experts espn fantasy baseball daily leaders daily fantasy baseball for money daily fantasy baseball fanduel daily fantasy baseball freerolls free daily fantasy baseball projections free daily fantasy baseball tips for daily fantasy baseball best site for daily fantasy baseball daily fantasy baseball game fantasy baseball daily schedule grid daily fantasy baseball lineup help how to win daily fantasy baseball how to play daily fantasy baseball daily fantasy baseball information daily fantasy baseball info daily fantasy baseball insider daily fantasy baseball injuries daily joust fantasy baseball keys to daily fantasy baseball daily fantasy baseball lineup advice daily fantasy baseball leagues daily fantasy baseball lineups fanduel daily fantasy baseball leaders daily fantasy baseball starting lineups daily fantasy college baseball lineups daily fantasy baseball matchups daily fantasy baseball monster daily fantasy MLB baseball numberfire daily fantasy baseball MLB fantasy baseball daily rankings ncaa baseball daily fantasy MLB fantasy baseball daily projections ncaa baseball daily fantasy picks daily fantasy baseball optimal lineups fantasy baseball weekly or daily daily fantasy baseball picks daily fantasy baseball player rankings daily fantasy baseball podcast daily fantasy baseball pickups daily fantasy baseball value plays daily fantasy college baseball projections daily fantasy baseball sleeper picks daily fantasy baseball stats daily fantasy baseball spreadsheet daily fantasy baseball software daily fantasy baseball statistics daily fantasy baseball tips daily fantasy baseball tools daily fantasy baseball twitter daily fantasy baseball who to start daily-tomorrow fantasy baseball yahoo fantasy baseball daily today yahoo fantasy baseball daily tomorrow daily fantasy baseball updates daily fantasy baseball value picks fantasy baseball daily vs weekly weekly vs daily fantasy baseball daily fantasy baseball websites winning daily fantasy baseball fantasy baseball weekly vs daily yahoo fantasy baseball weekly deadline daily tomorrow yahoo fantasy baseball daily roster changes strategy for daily fantasy baseball dfs experts dfs expert rankings draftkings MLB lineup draftkings MLB finals draftkings MLB strategy draftkings MLB picks draftkings MLB advice draftkings MLB playoffs 2012 MLB draft kings 2013 MLB draft kings MLB draft kings trade 2014 MLB draft kings draftkings MLB scoring MLB draftkings advice draftkings MLB MLB mock draft kings draftkings MLB rules draftkings MLB tips MLB draft kings 2015 dk 2016 fanduel 2016 draft kings 2015 draft kings 2016 fantasy picks

FanDuel & DraftKings MLB DFS Lineup Picks for Saturday, October 1 – The Starting 5

The Starting 5: Featuring pitcher and hitter MLB DFS picks for FanDuel & DraftKings cash …


Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *